The Mathematics of Arbitrage

(Tina Meador) #1
6.6 The DMW Theorem forT= 1 via Utility Maximisation 97

defines the desired equivalent martingale measureQ,wherec>0 is a suitable
normalising constant. This is roughly the strategy of proof and we now have
to work through the details.
We need an auxiliary result (compare [S 92] and Sect. 9.8 below).


Lemma 6.6.1.LetU(x)=−e−xand let(fn)∞n=1be a sequence of real-valued
measurable functions defined on(Ω,F,P)such that


a:= lim
n→∞
sup
gn∈conv{fn,fn+1,...}

E[U(gn)]>−∞. (6.8)

Then there is a unique elementg 0 ∈L^0 (Ω,F,P;]−∞,∞])such that, for
each sequencegn∈conv{fn,fn+1,...}withlimn→∞E[U(gn)] =a, we have
that(gn)∞n=1converges tog 0 in probability.


Proof.Letgn∈conv{fn,fn+1,...}be such that limn→∞E[U(gn)] =a.Fix
n, mandα>0andlet


An,m,α=

{


|gn−gm|>αand min(gn,gm)<α−^1

}


.


From the uniform concavity ofUon ]−∞,α−^1 +α] we conclude that there
exists aβ=β(α)>0 such that, forn, m∈Nandω∈An,m,α,wehave


U


(


gn(ω)+gm(ω)
2

)



U(gn(ω)) +U(gm(ω))
2

+β.

Forω∈An,m,αwe only apply the concavity ofUto obtain


U


(


gn(ω)+gm(ω)
2

)



U(gn(ω)) +U(gm(ω))
2

.


Hence, forg=gn+ 2 gmwe have


E[U(g)]>
E[U(gn)] +E[U(gm)]
2

+βP[An,m,α].

If (gn)∞n=1is a maximising sequence for (6.8) we get therefore for eachα> 0


lim
n,m→∞
P[An,m,α]=0.

This is tantamount to saying that (gn)∞n=1 is a Cauchy sequence in
L^0 (Ω,F,P;]−∞,∞]), i.e., with respect to convergence in probability on the
half-closed line ]−∞,∞]. Lettingg 0 = limn→∞gnwe have found our desired
limiting function. We observe that we cannot exclude the possibility, thatg 0
assumes the value +∞on a set of strictly positive probability.
As to the uniqueness ofg 0 ,letgn′be any other sequence in conv{fn,fn− 1 ,...}
such that limn→∞E[U(gn)] = a. Then by the same argument as above,
(g′n)∞n=1is also Cauchy inL^0 (Ω,F,P;]−∞,+∞]). By consideringg′′n:=gnfor

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