The Mathematics of Arbitrage

(Tina Meador) #1

216 10 Counter-Example


(4) two processes β^1 and β^2 that are Brownian motions with respect to
( ̃Ft)t≥ 0 and such that〈β^1 ,β^2 〉=0,
(5) the variableγ=


∫∞


0 K


2
sd〈N, N〉s◦πis a stopping time with respect to
( ̃Ft)t≥ 0 ,
(6)βt^1 ∧γ=(K·N)Tt◦π,
(7)βt^2 ∧γ=(K·U)Tt◦π,


(8)L ̃=E(β^1 )satisfiesLTt◦π=L ̃t∧γ,


(9)Z ̃=E(β^2 )satisfiesZTt◦π=Z ̃t∧γ,
(10) ̃τ=inf{t|(E(β^1 ))t<^12 }satisfiesτ◦π=T ̃τ,
(11) ̃σ=inf{t|(E(β^2 ))t> 2 }satisfiesσ◦π=T ̃σ.


In this setting we have to show thatER[Lτ∧σ]=E ̃R ̃[ ̃Lτ ̃∧ ̃σ∧γ]<1. But on
the set


{∫∞


0 K


2
sd〈N, N〉s<∞

}


we have, as shown above,

ER


[


(^1) {∫∞
0 K^2 sd〈N,N〉s<∞}
Lτ∧σ


]


≤ER


[


(^1) {∫∞
0 K^2 sd〈N,N〉s<∞}


L∗


]


≤η.

In other words,E ̃R ̃[ (^1) {γ<∞}L ̃∗γ]≤η. So it remains to be shown that


E ̃ ̃


R

[


(^1) {γ=∞}L ̃ ̃τ∧ ̃σ


]


< 1 −η.

Actually, we will show that


E ̃ ̃
R

[


L ̃τ ̃∧ ̃σ

]


< 1 −η.

This is easy and follows from the independence ofβ^1 andβ^2 , a consequence
of〈β^1 ,β^2 〉= 0! As in Sect. 10.2 we have


E ̃ ̃


R

[


L ̃ ̃τ∧ ̃σ

]


=ηR ̃[ ̃σ=∞]+R ̃[σ<∞]=

1


2


η+

1


2


< 1 −η

sinceη≤^18. To show that


ER[Lτ∧σZτ∧σ]=1

we again use the extension and time transform. But ( ̃LZ ̃) ̃τ∧ ̃σis a uniformly
integrable martingale, as follows from the easy calculation in Sect. 10.2, and
hence we obtain


ER[Lτ∧σZτ∧σ]=E ̃R ̃[L ̃τ ̃∧ ̃σ∧γZ ̃τ∧ ̃σ∧γ]=1.

The proof of the theorem is complete now. 

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