The Economist (2022-02-26) Riva

(EriveltonMoraes) #1
TheEconomistFebruary26th 2022 UnitedStates 25

havesentorplantosendbonusestogov-
ernmentemployees,suchashealth-care
workers,policeofficersandteachers.Cou-
pledwithpayrises,thisisintendednot
onlytoretainvaluableworkersinatight
labourmarket,butalsotocurryfavour
withvoters.Inspiredbythepopularityof
thedirectpaymentstohouseholdsinthe
caresAct(a$2.2trnfiscalstimuluspassed
underDonaldTrump),GovernorTimWalz
ofMinnesotaispromotinghisproposed
“Walzchecks”,paymentsofupto$350that
wouldbesenttoeveryhouseholdinthe
state.California,IndianaandPennsylva-
niahavesimilarschemesafoot.
Theinfrastructureprojectsthatmany
stategovernmentsareembarkingon,how-
ever,areamixedbag.Onpaper,theTreasu-
ryDepartment’srulesadministeringarpa
allowstatestospendfundsononlythree
typesofphysical infrastructure:broad-
band,sewerageandwater.Stateshaveea-
gerlyallocatedmoneytobroadband,with
anestimated$7.6bnalreadygoingtoit,
thoughAdieTomeroftheBrookingsInsti-
tution,athink-tankinWashington,dc,
cautionsthatfewstateshaverelevantbu-
reaucraticexperience.Theseeffortswill
getafurtherboostthisyearasthe$1.2trn
Infrastructure Investmentand JobsAct
beginsdisbursingmoney,muchofitear-
markedforbroadbandinfrastructure.


arpadiem
Inpractice,however, theabilitytouse
fundsfor“revenuereplacement”hasal-
lowedmanystatepolicymakerstosupport
cherishedpriorities,nomatterhowmis-
guided.ThisishowAlabamajustifiedits
prison construction.Fromruralbroad-
bandtoenvironmentalclean-up,itisnot
hardtothinkofgoodlong-runinvest-
mentsforthestate,butprisonsareapriori-
tyforAlabama’sRepublicans.Iowa’sgover-
nor,KimReynolds,ishanding$11minar-
pafundstoimprovethe“FieldofDreams”,
thebaseballdiamondmadefamousina
filmstarringKevinCostner.
Moreworryingarethenewsocialpro-
grammesandtaxcutsthatseveralstates


areembarkingon.Thesemayproveunsus-
tainable.Coloradowillspend$275monbe-
havioural-health programmesthanksto
arpa,alongwith$13mjusttobuildthebu-
reaucracyforafutureuniversalpre-kin-
dergartenprogramme.NewYork’sgover-
nor,KathyHochul,hasproposed$150min
tuitionassistanceforpart-timestudents.
JaredWalczakoftheTaxFoundation,an-
otherthink-tank,saysnearlyeverystate
has reduced,oriscontemplatingtrim-
ming,itstaxes,afterRepublicansledthe
wayin2021.“ThisistheyearoftheDemo-
cratictaxcut,”hesays,pointingtothema-
nyDemocraticgovernorswhoarepro-
posedslashingthemoreregressivesales
tax.SomeRepublicansaregoingfurther—
Mississippi,thepooreststateinAmerica,
mayrepealitsstateincometaxentirely.
Ifsuchprofligacyiscauseforconcern,
votershardlyseemtonotice.ForRepubli-
cans,sooftentheapostlesofausterity,the
fundshavebeenaboon.Vermont’sgover-
nor,PhilScott,whoisanglingforanother
terminastatethatleansheavilytowards
theDemocrats,isemphasisinghislarge
spendingcommitments.Thenewgover-
norofVirginia,GlennYoungkin,ismoving
toeliminatethestate’sgrocerytaxand
raiseteachers’salaries,keyplanksofhis
winningcampaign.NearlyallRepublican
incumbent governorsfacingre-election
looksafe.OnlyembattledBrianKempof
Georgiaappearsinanydangeroflosing—
heisdesperatelypushingpayrisesfor
stateemployeesandincome-taxrefunds.
Thosesamestateleaderswillprobably
havemovedonbythetimefederalfunds
rundry.Fornow,statesrisksquandering
theopportunitytomakeproductivein-
vestments,andmaybeexposingthem-
selvestoliabilitiesthatwillbitewhenthe
nextrecessioncomes.Withpatternsof
workdisruptedbythepandemic,LauraKa-
lambokidis,Minnesota’schiefeconomist,
warnsstatestoplantheirlong-termspend-
ingwithcaution:“Noneofusfullyunder-
standsyethowthepandemichasperma-
nentlychangedtheeconomy.”

Federallargesse
UnitedStates,totalstatespendingbysource
$trn

Source:NationalAssociation of State Budget Ocers

1

3




1987 21151005200095

Bonds

Otherstatefunds

Generalstatefunds

Federalfunds

Where the money goes
United States, total fiscal-recovery-fund allocations
At February 7th , $bn

Source:NationalConference of State Legislatures

*Includesunemployment relief

2

Other

Education

Housing

Health and human
services

State operation and
administration

Infrastructure

Economic relief and
development*

100 20 30

KathyHochul

The unexpected


governor


“I


’m a buffalo billsfan. I always have
an underdog mentality,” said Kathy
Hochul, New York’s governor, earlier this
month. Last summer she succeeded An-
drew Cuomo, who had resigned amid sexu-
al-harassment and abuse allegations. Few
then would have predicted she would be
the front-runner in November’s governor’s
race and scoring umpteen political touch-
downs. The recent state Democratic con-
vention, where she was introduced by Hil-
lary Clinton, resembled a coronation. Sup-
porters carried tote bags depicting Ms Ho-
chul as Rosie the Riveter. Ms Hochul is an
underdog no longer.
She has surprised even longtime ob-
servers of Albany, New York’s capital. “Po-
litically, she’s off to a roaring start,” says
John Kaehny of Reinvent Albany, a govern-
ment watchdog. Despite being Mr Cuomo’s
deputy, she has successfully distanced her-
self from him and his alleged misdeeds.
She is more cordial with lawmakers (Ron
Kim, a Democratic assemblyman, has said
Mr Cuomo threatened to “destroy” him
after he criticised the governor). Instead of
vetoing bills, she requests tweaks to get the
legislation she wants. “She may not agree
with what you want to do, but at least
there’s a conversation,” says Sandy Galef, a
Democratic assemblywoman.
Ms Hochul has promised to forge a
“new era of transparency” in Albany, where
ethics scandals are the norm. She is prov-
ing to be far more politically effective than
anyone imagined.

NEW YORK
New York’s governor is proving to be
remarkably adept at the power game

New wave in New York
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