The Language of Argument

(singke) #1
2 2 2

C H A P T E R 1 0 ■ C a u s a l R e a s o n i n g

opposite target feature, ~G. It also might be necessary for features A, B,
and D. Nothing in Cases 1–4 rules out these possibilities. Thus, even after
Case 4, we cannot say simply that C is not a necessary condition. Case 4
shows that candidate feature C is not a necessary condition for target feature
G, but C still might be necessary for something else. The same point applies to
sufficient conditions as well. In Table 1, Case 2 ruled out the possibility that
candidate feature B is sufficient for target feature G, but none of the cases in
Table 1 show that B is not sufficient for target feature C. To avoid confusion,
then, it is always important to specify the target feature when talking about
what is or is not a necessary or sufficient condition.

The Joint Test


It is also possible to apply these rules simultaneously in the search for possi-
ble conditions that are both sufficient and necessary. Any candidate cannot be
both sufficient and necessary if it fails either the SCT or the NCT. In Table 2,
C is the only possible necessary condition for G, and it is not also a possible
sufficient condition for G, since C fails the SCT in Case 1, where C is present
and G is absent. In Table 1, however, D is a possible sufficient condition of G,
because D is never present when G is absent; and D might also be a neces-
sary condition for G, since G is never present when D is absent. Thus, none of
Cases 1–3 in Table 1 eliminates D as a candidate for a condition that is both
sufficient and necessary for G. As before, this possibility still might be refuted
by Case 4, so any inference to a positive conclusion that some candidate is a
necessary and sufficient condition must be defeasible and, hence, inductive.

For each of the following tables determine
a. Which, if any, of the candidates—A, B, C, or D—is not eliminated by the
sufficient condition test as a sufficient condition for target feature G?
b. Which, if any, of the candidates—A, B, C, or D—is not eliminated by the
necessary condition test as a necessary condition for target feature G?
c. Which, if any, of the candidates—A, B, C, or D—is not eliminated by either
test?
Example: Case 1: A B ~C D ~G
Case 2: ~A B C D G
Case 3: A ~B C D G

a. Only C passes the SCT.
b. Only C and D pass the NCT.
c. Only C passes both tests.

Exercise III

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