World Bank Document

(Jacob Rumans) #1

178 ■ CITIES AND CLIMATE CHANGE


in summer owing to increased cooling demands. Th ese potential changes in the
seasonality of the anthropogenic heat release could impact on the modeled urban
temperatures. In the present study, the anthropogenic heat release was assumed
to be uniform throughout the year and is included as an additional source term
to the surface energy balance equation of the urban tile.


Model Experiments


Th e diff erent experiments performed with the RCM are listed in table 7.1. In
total, seven diff erent experiments have been carried out to validate the regional
model and to test the sensitivity of the simulated urban and rural tempera-


Figure 7.1 Comparison of Modeled and Observed Daily Mean 1.5-Meter
Temperatures for Winter and Summer over Europe


Source: Authors.
Note: The model data have been averaged over the period 1971–90, and the observations 1961–90.


Obs (HadCRUT3) DJF Model (HadRM3) DJF

60N 60N


50N 50N


40N 40N


30N 30N


15W 0 15E 30E 15W 0 15E 30E

Obs (HadCRUT3) JJA Model (HadRM3) JJA

60N 60N


50N 50N


40N 40N


30N 30N


15W 0 15E 30E 15W 0 15E 30E

–10–5 0 51015202530
degrees Celsius
Free download pdf