126 The Business of Value Investing
A particular security is selling in the market for $ 25 a share. The
strong fundamental qualities of this security are well known, and as a
result, the stock has typically traded at a fair to overvaluation. At the
current price of $ 25 a share, the stock is indeed slightly above fair
value. Eager to buy, an investor is on constant watch for any dip in
stock price, but the dip never comes. Instead, over the next few weeks
the stock seems only to go up in price and is now at $ 35. Not wanting
to miss out on the continued rise, the investor rushes to buy in. In the
next few weeks, the stock is back at $ 25 and the investor, an able and
bright fellow, feels like the dumbest man on the planet. His downfall
had nothing to do with intelligence. Instead, it had everything to do
with emotions dictating the investment decision. Whether the secu-
rity will trade above his purchase price a year from now is irrelevant.
Even if that happens, it ’ s just as foolish to dismiss the investment as
an intelligent one because the investment process was manipulated
by emotional decision making. Next to taking a loss, nothing is more
painful than the aforementioned chain of events. Learning to say no
until the price is right is of paramount importance.
Most investors are smart; few, however, are disciplined enough
to say no and move on or, more important, be patient. This chapter
illustrates and explains the benefi ts and consequences of an undis-
ciplined investment approach versus an investment approach char-
acterized by discipline. Very few activities in life can be practiced
successfully without some degree of discipline. Being disciplined
requires you to think independently and ignore crowd psychology.
Discipline requires investors to be confi dent in their research and
analysis and be prepared to receive criticism from all angles. Yet
disciplined investors clearly realize that investment success comes
from sticking to their methods and not participating in crowd folly.
In Investing, Discipline is Everything
Rarely do you fi nd a fi eld where the level of intelligence is not
directly proportional to long - term success. Investing in the stock
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