18 The Business of Value Investing
of buying a share of stock based on the business ’ s future earnings
potential, asset values, or balance sheet strength was virtually unheard
of. Instead, speculators were buying shares of businesses hoping
for the next great oil fi eld or gold mine discovery. Investors did not
understand or even consider the concept of looking for cheap busi-
nesses that had high margins of safety. Graham provided an almost
scientifi c formula characterized by intense analytical effort toward
approaching stocks. The underlying premise was that a stock repre-
sents a piece of a business, and the investment approach should be
rooted on that concept.
Notice the three underlying characteristics of an investment
operation: thorough analysis, safety of principal, and a satisfactory
return. An investment must encompass all three. Interestingly,
the order of the three conditions is very important. Obviously,
you fi rst must analyze the business and fi gure out what it is you
are buying. You can achieve this goal only through deep, rigorous
analysis. Then, before you should consider how much money you
stand to make, you fi rst should rule out any possibility of a sub-
stantial loss in capital. One of the cornerstones of value investing
is understanding that capital preservation comes fi rst; only after-
ward should you think about capital appreciation. You see this
devotion toward capital preservation in various sayings by many
of today ’ s most successful value investors: “ Preserve the downside
and let the upside take care of itself ” or “ Heads I win, tails I lose
little. ” No matter how you word it, the idea is the same: Preserving
your capital ensures a very high degree of long - term investment
success.
Some very simple math will bring this point home. Consider
two investors. During the fi rst year, a tough time for stocks, both
investors suffer a down year. Investor A is down 10 percent while B
is down 25 percent. The next three years are more favorable mar-
ket environments, and both investors do well. Their performance
results are:
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