Titel_SS06

(Brent) #1

Continuous Random Processes


A random process X()t is as mentioned a random function of time meaning that for any point
in time the value of X
t is a random variable. A realisation of a random process (e.g. water
level variation) is illustrated in Figure 2.14.


0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

Water level [m]

Time [days]

Figure 2.14: Realization of the water level variation as function of time.


In accordance with the definition of the mean value of a random variable the mean value of all
the possible realisation of the stochastic process at time t is given by:


XX()txfxt( , )


 dx (2.58)


The correlation between all possible realisations at two points in time and is described
through the so-called autocorrelation function


t 1 t 2
RXX(, )tt 12. The autocorrelation function is
defined by:


RXX(, )tt 12 EXt Xt() ( ) 1 2 xxf xx tt dxdx 12 XX( , ; , )1 212 1 2
 

 (2.59)


The auto-covariance function is defined as:


12  1 1 2 2 

112 2 12121

(, ) ( () ())( ( ) ( ))


( ( )) ( ( )) ( , ; , )


XX X X

XXXX

Ctt EXt t Xt t

x t x t f x x t t dx dx 2







      

 


 


(2.60)


For tt 12 t the auto-covariance function becomes the covariance function:


(^2) () (, ) (, )  (^2) ()
XXXtCttRttXX Xt (2.61)
where ( )X t is the standard deviation function.
The above definitions for the scalar processX( )t
t))T
may be extended to cover also vector valued
processes having covariance functions


. For i these become the auto-covariance functions and when
these are termed the cross-covariance functions. Finally the correlation function may be
defined as:


X( ) (tXtXt X 12 ( ), ( ),..., n(
CXXXijcovij(), ( )tXt 12 j
ij/

12
12
12

cov ( ), ( )
(), ( )
ij() ( )

ij
ij
XX

X tXt
Xt X t
tt

1








  (2.62)

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