9781118041581

(Nancy Kaufman) #1
Determinants of Demand 81

Starting from an initial price, by varying the coach fare up or down, we
move along(respectively up and down) the demand curve. A higher price
means lower sales. But what happens if there is a change in one of the other
factors that affect demand? As we now show, such a change causes a shift in the
demand curve.To illustrate, suppose that a year from now Pis expected to be
unchanged but Y is forecast to grow to 119. What will the demand curve look
like a year hence? To answer this question, we substitute the new value, Y  119
(along with P240), into the demand function to obtain

[3.5]

Now compare the new and old demand equations. Observe that they are of
the same form, with one key difference: The constant term of the new
demand curve is larger than that of the old. Therefore, if your airline were
to leave its own fare unchanged a year from now, you would enjoy a greater
volume of coach traffic. Figure 3.1 underscores this point by graphing both
the old and new demand curves. Note that the new demand curve consti-
tutes a parallel shift to the right (toward greater sales quantities) of the old
demand curve. At P $240, current demand is 100 seats per flight. At the
same fare, coach demand one year from now is forecast to be 142 seats (due
to the increase in regional income), a gain of 42 seats. In fact, for anyfare
your airline might set (and leave unchanged), demand a year from now is

Q 622 2P.

FIGURE 3.1
A Shift in Demand

Due to growth in
regional income, the
airline’s demand curve
in one year’s time lies
to the right of its cur-
rent demand curve. At
an unchanged price a
year from now, it
expects to sell 42 addi-
tional seats on each
flight.

Price

290

240

100 142 580 622

P = 290 – Q/2

P = 311 – Q/2

Quantity of Units Sold

$311

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