Sizing Up Competitive Situations 399
services, advertising, and so on. In broadest terms, an airline strategy
would encompass marketing decisions (advertising, the use of
computerized reservation systems, and frequent-flier programs),
investment decisions (ordering planes, expanding terminals, and
choosing hubs), manpower and labor decisions, and merger and
acquisition strategies.
2.Outcomes and Payoffs. The firm’s action, together with actions taken
by its rivals, determines the outcome of the competition. In the battle
for air passengers, the three airlines’ numbers of departures
completely determine their market shares (and the number of tickets
they sell). Associated with any outcome is a payoff that embodies each
competitor’s ultimate objective or goal. For a private firm, such as an
airline, this payoff usually is measured in terms of monetary profit. In
other situations, payoffs take nonmonetary forms. In a war, payoffs
might be expressed in terms of territory taken, number of enemy
killed, and so on. In the race for the U.S. presidency, payoffs might be
counted in electoral college votes. In short, a payoff summarizes and
measures the preferences of a given player.
3.Underlying “Rules.” Just as important as the players, actions,
outcomes, and payoffs are the formal and informal rules that govern
the behavior of the competitors. One category of rules includes
generally agreed-upon competitive practices, laws, and specific
industry regulations. For instance, before 1978, the airline industry
operated under strict government regulations. In the current era of
deregulation, price and entry constraints have been dropped.
Nonetheless, myriad antitrust rules and regulations prohibit price
collusion, unfair practices, and mergers that would increase
monopoly power. A second category of “rules” provides a framework
to model the competition. They specify whether competitors take
actions simultaneously or sequentially. If sequentially, who moves first,
second, or last? These rules also describe what each competitor knows
about the others’ preferences and previous moves at the time it takes
action. In the battle for air passengers, airlines set their number of
departures independently and without knowing their competitors’
decisions.
Equally important, competitive situations differacross a number of dimensions.
1.Number of Competitors. The number of competitors is one
fundamental way to categorize competitive situations. We distinguish
between settings with two competitors (so-called two-person games)
and those with more than two (n-person or many-person games). In a
two-person game, you and your adversary have conflicting interests to
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