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(Nancy Kaufman) #1
Next, because the original move was beneficial, we try moving farther east,
say, to town D. Again, the move reduces the TTM. (Check this.) What about a
move east again to town E? This brings a further reduction. What about a move
to town F? Now we find that the TTM has increased. (By how much?) Moreover,
any further moves east would continue to increase the TTM. Thus, town E is the
best site.
It is worth noting the simple but subtle way in which we found the optimal
site. The simple maxim of marginal analysis is as follows:

Make a “small” move to a nearby alternative if and only if the move will improve
one’s objective (in this case, reduce TTM). Keep moving, always in the direction of
an improved objective, and stop when no further move will help.

The subtlety of the method lies in its focus on changes. One need never
actually calculate a TTM (or even know the distances between towns) to prove
that town E is the optimal location. (We can check that town E’s TTM is 635.)
One requires only some simple reasoning about the effects of changes.
Of course, on the tip of your tongue may be the declaration, “This problem
is too simple; that is the only reason why the method works.” This protest is both
right and wrong. It is true that this particular location problem is special and
therefore somewhat artificial. (Two-dimensional siting problems are both more
realistic and more difficult.) But the simplicity of the setting was not the key to
why marginal analysis worked. The method and its basic reasoning can be used
in almost any optimization problem, that is, in any setting where a decision
maker seeks to maximize (or minimize) a well-defined objective.

A SIMPLE MODEL OF THE FIRM


The decision setting we will investigate can be described as follows:


  1. A firm produces a single good or service for a single market with the
    objective of maximizing profit.

  2. Its task is to determine the quantity of the good to produce and sell
    and to set a sales price.

  3. The firm can predict the revenue and cost consequences of its price
    and output decisions with certainty. (We will deal with uncertainty in
    Chapters 12 and 13.)


Together these three statements fulfill the first four fundamental decision-
making steps described in Chapter 1. Statement 1 specifies the setting and
objective, statement 2 the firm’s possible decision alternatives, and statement
3 (along with some specific quantitative information supplied shortly) the link

30 Chapter 2 Optimal Decisions Using Marginal Analysis

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