International Finance: Putting Theory Into Practice

(Chris Devlin) #1

154 CHAPTER 4. UNDERSTANDING FORWARD EXCHANGE RATES FOR CURRENCY


Example 4.22
Let (T−t) =1/2, and the compound interest rate 10.25 percentp.a.; then

1 +rt,T= 1. 10251 /^2 =


1 .1025 = 1. 05. (4.34)

Compound interest is the standard method for zero-coupon loans and invest-
ments (without interim interest payments) exceeding one year.


  1. Banks may also compound the interest every quarter, every month, or even
    every day. The result is an odd mixture of linear and exponential methods. If
    the interest rate for a six-month investment isip.a., compoundedmtimes per
    year, the bank awards youi/mper subperiod of 1/myear. For instance, the
    p.a.interest rate may bei= 6 percent, compounded four times per year. This
    means you get 6/4 = 1.5 percent per quarter. Your investment has a maturity
    of six months, which corresponds to two capitalization periods of one quarter
    each. After compounding over these two quarters, an initial investment of
    100 grows to 100×(1.015)^2 = 103.0225, implying an effective rate of return
    of 3.0225 percent. Thus, the effective return is computed from the quoted
    interest rate as:


1 +rt,T=

(

1 +

[quoted interest rate]
m

)(T−t)m

. (4.35)


Example 4.23
Let (T−t) =1/2, and the compound interest rate 9.878% with quarterly
compounding; then

1 +rt,T= (1 + 0. 098781 /4)^1 /^2 ×^4 = 1. 05. (4.36)

You may wonder why this byzantine mixture of linear and exponential is used
at all. In the real world it is used when the bank has a good reason to
understate the effective interest rate. This is generally the case for loans. For
deposits, the reason may be that the quoted rate is capped (by law, like the
U.S.’ former Regulations Q and M; or because of a cartel agreement amongst
banks). In finance theory, the mixture of linear and exponential is popular in
its limit form, the continuously compounded rate:


  1. In the theoretical literature, the frequency of compounding is often carried to
    the limit (“continuous compounding”,i.e. m→ ∞). From your basic math
    course, you may remember that:


lim
m→∞
(1 +x/m)m=ex, (4.37)
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