224 CHAPTER 6. THE MARKET FOR CURRENCY FUTURES
Table 6.1: Forward Contracts with Variable Collateral or Daily Recon-
tracting
data Variable Collateral Periodic Recontracting
time 0:
F 0 , 3 = 40
r 0 , 3 = 3%Smitha buys forward usd 1m at
F 0 , 3 = 40Smitha buys forward usd 1m at
F 0 , 3 = 40
time 1:
F 1 , 3 = 38
r 1 , 3 = 2%Market value of old contract is
38 m 1 −. 0240 m=− 1. 961 mSmitha puts up T-bills worth
at least 1.961mMarket value of old contract is
38 m 1 −. 0240 m=− 1. 961 mSmitha buys back the old con-
tract for 1.961m and signs a new
contract atF 1 , 3 = 38.
time 2:
F 1 , 3 = 36
r 2 , 3 = 1%Market value of old contract is
36 m 1 −. 0140 m=− 3. 960 mSmitha increases the T-bills
put up to at least 3.960mMarket value of old contract is
36 m 1 −. 0138 m=− 1. 980 mSmitha buys back the old con-
tract for 1.980m and signs a new
contract atF 2 , 3 = 36.
time 3:
F 3 , 3 =S 3 = 34
r 3 , 3 = 0%Smitha pays the promisedinr40m
for theusd1m, and gets back her
T-billsSmitha pays the promisedinr36m
for theusd1mtotal paid: inr40m (adjusted for time value:)- time 3: 36m
- time 2: 1.980×1.01= 2m
- time 1: 1.961×1.02= 2m
- total: 40m
DoItYourself problem 6.1
Given a sequence{F 1 , 4 , F 2 , 4 , F 3 , 4 , F 4 , 4 =S 4 }, write in algebra the cash flows from
daily recontracting, and show that if all losses are financed by loans and all gains
are deposited until timeT= 4, you pay, all in all,F 1 , 4.
The system of variable collateral is used in many stock exchanges in continental
Europe. Somewhat confusingly, these contracts are sometimes called futures con-
tracts; in reality, they are collateralized forward contracts. “Futures” just sounds
cooler than forwards, though.
This finishes our discussion of credit risks in forward contracts. We now see how
this is handled in futures markets, and how secondary dealing has been organized.