224 CHAPTER 6. THE MARKET FOR CURRENCY FUTURES
Table 6.1: Forward Contracts with Variable Collateral or Daily Recon-
tracting
data Variable Collateral Periodic Recontracting
time 0:
F 0 , 3 = 40
r 0 , 3 = 3%
Smitha buys forward usd 1m at
F 0 , 3 = 40
Smitha buys forward usd 1m at
F 0 , 3 = 40
time 1:
F 1 , 3 = 38
r 1 , 3 = 2%
Market value of old contract is
38 m 1 −. 0240 m=− 1. 961 m
Smitha puts up T-bills worth
at least 1.961m
Market value of old contract is
38 m 1 −. 0240 m=− 1. 961 m
Smitha buys back the old con-
tract for 1.961m and signs a new
contract atF 1 , 3 = 38.
time 2:
F 1 , 3 = 36
r 2 , 3 = 1%
Market value of old contract is
36 m 1 −. 0140 m=− 3. 960 m
Smitha increases the T-bills
put up to at least 3.960m
Market value of old contract is
36 m 1 −. 0138 m=− 1. 980 m
Smitha buys back the old con-
tract for 1.980m and signs a new
contract atF 2 , 3 = 36.
time 3:
F 3 , 3 =S 3 = 34
r 3 , 3 = 0%
Smitha pays the promisedinr40m
for theusd1m, and gets back her
T-bills
Smitha pays the promisedinr36m
for theusd1m
total paid: inr40m (adjusted for time value:)
- time 3: 36m
- time 2: 1.980×1.01= 2m
- time 1: 1.961×1.02= 2m
- total: 40m
DoItYourself problem 6.1
Given a sequence{F 1 , 4 , F 2 , 4 , F 3 , 4 , F 4 , 4 =S 4 }, write in algebra the cash flows from
daily recontracting, and show that if all losses are financed by loans and all gains
are deposited until timeT= 4, you pay, all in all,F 1 , 4.
The system of variable collateral is used in many stock exchanges in continental
Europe. Somewhat confusingly, these contracts are sometimes called futures con-
tracts; in reality, they are collateralized forward contracts. “Futures” just sounds
cooler than forwards, though.
This finishes our discussion of credit risks in forward contracts. We now see how
this is handled in futures markets, and how secondary dealing has been organized.