Microsoft Word - SustainabilityReport_BCC.doc

(Barry) #1

  • Extend Bayesian and related methods for parameterizing models under uncertainty,
    including multiple, linked models, and for propagating uncertainty in models used for
    making large-scale predictions

  • Develop dynamical systems methods for robust prediction of long transient
    phenomena and to help understand the effects of different types of feedback in
    complex systems.


References


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    of management decisions to uncertainty: Everglades restoration scenarios.
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  2. Liebhold A, MacDonald W, Bergdahl D, Mastro V (1984). Invasion by exotic forest
    pests: A threat to forest ecosystems. Forest Science, 30 : a0001-z0001(1).

  3. Castelvecchi D (2010). Problem solved, LOL: A complex tic-tac-toe puzzle falls
    thanks to blog comments. Scientific American, March 17.

  4. Hof J, Bevers M, (200). Direct spatial optimization in natural resource
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  5. Hof J, Bevers M (2002). Spatial Optimization in Ecological Applications, Columbia
    University Press, New York.

  6. Parija G, Kumar T, Xi H, Keller D.(2007). Strategic planning of preparedness
    budgets for wildland fire management. IBM Journal of Research and Development,
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  7. Rehmeyer J (2010). Massively collaborative mathematics. SIAM News, 43(3):
    April.

  8. Rideout DB, Kirsch AG (2002). [Unpublished], Optimal Deployment for Initial Attack
    in Support of the Fire Program Analysis (FPA) Preparedness Module (Summary
    Report of Preliminary Progress).

  9. WRF: Weather Research and Forecasting Model,
    http://www.wrf-model.org/index.php

  10. Thornley JHM, France J (2007). Mathematical Models in Agriculture: Quantitative
    Methods for the Plant, Animal and Ecological Sciences, CAB International,
    Wallingford, UK.

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