Microsoft Word - SustainabilityReport_BCC.doc

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Mathematical and Statistical Challenges for Sustainability

Executive Summary

Learning to live sustainably on Earth is going to require enormous

advances in our understanding of the natural world and our relationship with it.


To acquire that understanding, progress in the mathematical sciences is


essential.


The human population is swelling toward ten billion. All of these people

need food, clean water, housing and energy. To stay within the planet’s carrying


capacity, we are going to have to be extraordinarily clever about how we use the


Earth’s resources. We need to know what the impacts of our actions are on the


environment we depend on; we need to understand how the natural world


functions; and we need to plan for the inevitable changes to come. Doing so


requires answering extremely complex, multi-disciplinary questions in the


emerging “science of sustainability.” And that science requires the precise,


quantitative insights that the mathematical sciences offer.


But mathematical scientists are only beginning to become involved in

sustainability research, and many mathematicians, statisticians, and many other


scientists are uncertain of the role that mathematics has to play. To redress this,


six North American mathematical research institutes, together with the U.S.


National Science Foundation, sponsored the Mathematical Challenges for


Sustainability Workshop held at the DIMACS Center at Rutgers University,


November 15-17, 2010, gathering 40 leaders in the mathematical sciences


together to lay out a roadmap of the mathematical and statistical challenges in


sustainability science. This report is a distillation of their work.


The participants saw that the mathematical sciences challenges are

enormous. Sustainability issues are hugely complex, requiring more subtle


scientific and mathematical and statistical tools than we currently have to unravel


them. Just asking the right questions is a challenge in and of itself. Climate


models, for example, are extraordinarily complex, created by scientists from


many disciplines, and require extremely powerful supercomputers to run, yet they

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