sustainability - SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry

(Ben Green) #1

Sustainability 2011 , 3 2350


The initial boundary conditions (assuming steady state) are

Pnp(t 0 ) =P 0 (12)

C(t 0 ) =λ(1−h)ψβ
q
P 0.

The most positive eigenvalue of the state transition matrix,A, sets the upper bound on the rate of
energy supply growth attainable for a given reinvestment factor,β. The eigenvalues,α, ofAare solutions
of the quadratic equation:


det|A−αI|= 0 (13)

det

∣∣
∣∣
∣∣
∣∣


1
T
−α
1
λ
(1−h)ψβ
q

1
λ
−α

∣∣
∣∣
∣∣
∣∣

= 0

or


α^2 +α(
1
λ
+
1
T
) +
1
λT

1
λ

(1−h)ψβ
q
= 0 (14)

This equation can be solved for the eigenvalues,α, using the quadratic formula:

α=

−(^1
λ
+^1
T


(^1
λ
+^1
T
)^2 +^4
λT

[
(1−h)ψTβ
q
− 1

]

2
(15)

There are two eigenvalues. By inspection, at least one is positive if
(1−h)ψTβ
q >^1. Calling the
most positive eigenvalueα∗, the persisting solution of the state equations is simple exponential growth
at an annual rate ofα∗, starting from the steady state initial condition:


Pnp(t) =P 0 eα∗t (16)

C(t) =λ
(1−h)ψβ
q P^0 e

α∗t

The doubling time figure of meritτ 2 – applicable to growing infrastructures under an energy plowback
constrained is defined as


τ 2 =
ln 2
α∗ (17)

G
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