Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists

(Sean Pound) #1

*5.9The Logistics Distribution 193


DifferentiatingF(x)= 1 −1/(1+e(x−μ)/v) yields the density function


f(x)=

e(x−μ)/v
v(1+e(x−μ)/v)^2

, −∞<x<∞

To obtain the mean of a logistics random variable,


E[X]=

∫∞

−∞

x

e(x−μ)/v
v(1+e(x−μ)/v)^2

dx

make the substitutiony=(x−μ)/v. This yields


E[X]=v

∫∞

−∞

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy+μ

∫∞

−∞

ey
(1+ey)^2

dy

=v

∫∞

−∞

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy+μ (5.9.1)

where the preceding equality used thatey/((1+ey)^2 ) is the density function of a logistic
random variable with parametersμ=0,v=1 (such a random variable is called astandard
logistic) and thus integrates to 1. Now,


∫∞

−∞

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy=

∫ 0

−∞

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy+

∫∞

0

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy

=−

∫∞

0

xe−x
(1+e−x)^2

dx+

∫∞

0

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy

=−

∫∞

0

xex
(ex+1)^2

dx+

∫∞

0

yey
(1+ey)^2

dy

= 0 (5.9.2)

where the second equality is obtained by making the substitutionx=−y, and the third
by multiplying the numerator and denominator bye^2 x. From Equations 5.9.1 and 5.9.2
we obtain


E[X]=μ

Thusμis the mean of the logistic;vis called the dispersion parameter.

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