Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists

(Sean Pound) #1

302 Chapter 8:Hypothesis Testing


can be obtained as follows:


β(μ)=Pμ

{
X≤μ 0 +zα

σ

n

}

=P

{
X−μ
σ/


n


μ 0 −μ
σ/


n

+zα

}

=P

{
Z≤

μ 0 −μ
σ/


n

+zα

}
, Z∼N(0, 1)

where the last equation follows since



n(X−μ)/σhas a standard normal distribution.
Hence we can write


β(μ)=

(
μ 0 −μ
σ/


n

+zα

)

Since , being a distribution function, is increasing in its argument, it follows thatβ(μ)
decreases inμ; which is intuitively pleasing since it certainly seems reasonable that the
larger the true meanμ, the less likely it should be to conclude thatμ≤μ 0. Also since
(zα)= 1 −α, it follows that


β(μ 0 )= 1 −α
The test given by Equation 8.3.10, which was designed to testH 0 :μ=μ 0 versus
H 1 :μ>μ 0 can also be used to test, at level of significanceα, the one-sided hypothesis


H 0 :μ≤μ 0

versus


H 1 :μ>μ 0

To verify that it remains a levelαtest, we need show that the probability of rejection is
never greater thanαwhenH 0 is true. That is, we must verify that


1 −β(μ)≤α for allμ≤μ 0

or


β(μ)≥ 1 −α for allμ≤μ 0

But it has previously been shown that for the test given by Equation 8.3.10,β(μ) decreases
inμandβ(μ 0 )= 1 −α. This gives that


β(μ)≥β(μ 0 )= 1 −α for allμ≤μ 0

which shows that the test given by Equation 8.3.10 remains a levelαtest forH 0 :μ≤μ 0
against the alternative hypothesisH 1 :μ≤μ 0.

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