Quality Money Management : Process Engineering and Best Practices for Systematic Trading and Investment

(Michael S) #1
positions. Implied volatility of poor credit companies would spike, stock price of poor
credit companies would gap down, and you would look like a genius.
However, using a portfolio attribution system you would clearly identify that the
excess profit of above the benchmark for the volatility was provided by a credit bet. In the
bet explained above the trader won; however, the reverse could also be true. Therefore, to
make sure that a trading system built consistently outperforms its benchmark you need to
perform attribution analysis on the portfolio and the benchmark.
For attribution analysis, a risk manager must understand where the risk and return is
versus the benchmark. Metrics will include first standard statistical outputs, plus addi-
tional deliverables such as, for example, a linked chart showing the growth of $10,000 for
fund versus the benchmark, and calculations for:

● Alpha and beta.
● Excess returns/Sharpe ratio of excess returns.
● Average credit ratings.
● Average market cap.
● International exposure.
● Number of weeks top ranked stocks out-/underperform lowest ranked.
● Brinson–Fachler attribution metrics.

All of these calculations are useful for comparing how your trading/investment system is
performing relative to the benchmark. For charting purposes, the mean value of these metrics
will be that experienced during backtesting relative to the benchmark. However, these types
of calculations do not answer a fundamental question: are you making money by over- or
underweighting factors or are you making money by picking better trades, or by combin-
ing the two together. In an ideal world, a system should make money from both the over- or
underweighting of factors and by picking better trades. We recommend that where possible
all systems are analyzed using the Brinson–Fachler method to clearly understand returns.

27.2.1. The Brinson–Fachler Method


The best known approach to performance attribution is the Brinson–Fachler method, which
uses weighted sums, compounding, and value added for performance analysis. Performance
analysts use weighted sums to combine returns for a group of assets. Consider the following
table:^2

27.2. LOOP2: BENCHMARK ATTRIBUTION CALCULATIONS

TABLE 27-1

Portfolio sector returns Benchmark sector returns

Portfolio sector
weights

Q4
Portfolio

Q2
Active asset
allocation fund

Benchmark sector
weights

Q3
Active stock
selection fund

Q1
Benchmark

∑wriPjP
∑wriPjB

∑wriBjB
∑wriBjp

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