Determine Causes of Variation
Determining causes of special variation, or nonconformance, in a trading/investment system
requires root cause analysis, a set of problem solving techniques that are part of a continu-
ous improvement process. A trading system has two continuing goals: increase returns and
decrease risk (i.e., variation) versus the benchmark. Reducing variation increases a system ’ s
Sharpe ratio and unmasks new sources of alpha. Correcting or fixing a root cause will elimi-
nate the nonconformance and reduce variation. The point is to solve problems by taking cor-
rective action to fix root causes, rather than just treating or masking the obvious symptoms.
CHAPTER ◆ 29
Determine
causes of
variation
Manage portfolio and risk
Plan
performance
and risk
processes
Define
performance
controls
Perform
SPC
(^3) analysis
2
1
FIGURE 29-1
Often there is more than one root cause for a given nonconformance. However, com-
plete prevention of recurrence, called a “ fix, ” by a single inquiry is often not possible.
Like all methods in K|V, root cause analysis should be an iterative, systematic pro cess,
where conclusions are based on facts. Root cause analysis consists of many different
tools and processes, such as the fishbone diagram (a fishbone diagram shows cause and
effect). Nevertheless, for all continuous improvement techniques, a basic outline can be
followed for performing root cause analysis:
● Define the special variation, or nonconformance, using evidence from K|V 4.3.
● Identify issues that potentially contributed to the nonconformance.
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