The Intelligent Investor - The Definitive Book On Value Investing

(MMUReader) #1

  • each 3Com share was entitled to receive 1.525 shares of Palm

  • each share of Palm closed at $95.06

  • 1.525$95.06 = $144.97


That’s what each 3Com share was worth based on its stake in
Palm alone. Thus, at $81.81, traders were saying that all of 3Com’s
other businesses combined were worth a negative $63.16 per share,
or a total of minus $22 billion!Rarely in history has any stock been
priced more stupidly.^9
But there was a catch: Just as 3Com wasn’t really worth minus
$22 billion, Palm wasn’t really worth over 1,350 times earnings. By
the end of 2002, both stocks were hurting in the high-tech recession,
but it was Palm’s shareholders who really got smacked—because they
abandoned all common sense when they bought in the first place:

480 Commentary on Chapter 18

Palm’s Down

$83

$2,576

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

3/2/006/2/009/2/0012/2/003/2/016/2/019/2/

01
12/2/013/2/026/2/029/2/0212/2/02
Dates

Value of $10,000 investment


Palm
3Com

FIGURE 18-3

(^9) For a more advanced look at this bizarre event, see Owen A. Lamont and
Richard H. Thaler, “Can the Market Add and Subtract?” National Bureau of Eco-
nomic Research working paper no. 8302, at http://www.nber.org/papers/w8302.
Source: http://www.morningstar.com

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