CHILD POVERTY AND INEQUALITY: THE WAY FORWARD

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high levels of income inequality both across countries—in terms of


economic growth, health and social well-being, and political


stability—as well as within countries—in terms of social


inequalities, especially among children. Building on existing


research, we also present updated empirical analyses where possible.


5.A. Slows economic growth


Some argue that income inequality is necessary for economic


growth, following initial analysis by Simon Kuznets in the 1950s.


Supporters of this position advise governments to invest in growth


as a first priority, believing that the benefits will eventually “trickle


down” to the poor. The argument is based on the following: (i)


since the rich save more, higher inequality means higher rates of


savings, investment and future growth; (ii) poverty and a flexible


labour market keep wage levels cheap and encourage investment;


and (iii) taxation on higher income groups should be limited to


maximize the retained income available for investment. Such views


are still influential in development debates, mostly via vague “trickle


down plus” approaches that focus on growth first with some basic


education, health and other limited social interventions.


Evidence, however, suggests otherwise. Alesina and Rodrick (1994),


Bourguignon (2004) and Birdsall (2005), among others, have shown


that developing countries with high inequality tend to grow more


slowly. We build on Birdsall’s analysis using more recent data and


an expanded sample of countries, and we also look at changes in


inequality over time alongside economic growth rates. For the 131


countries that allow us to estimate the change in Gini index values


between 1990 and 2008, we find that, on the aggregate, those


countries that increased levels of inequality experienced slower


annual per capita GDP growth over the same time period (ρ= -


0.20). Moreover, the strong negative correlation between high


inequality and high growth remains virtually unchanged when


restricting the sample to developing countries only (94 countries)


(ρ= -0.19) (Figure 20).

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