CHILD POVERTY AND INEQUALITY: THE WAY FORWARD

(Barry) #1

(ii) Migration and migrant remittances. Traditionally, emigration


has not played a central role in promoting growth in developing


countries. Yet, with the increasing integration of the world


economy, the fertility decline and aging of the population of the


OECD countries, and the lowering of migration costs, remittances


have emerged as a possible growth driver in some developing


nations. While the relation between migration and development


remains controversial, remittances’ weight in GDP and the current


account balance has risen over time. In 1990, migration played a


limited role in Latin America. However, they grew from 1.12% of


the regional GDP in 1990, to 6.71% in 2007 (USAID 2008).


The sharp increase of remittances over the last decade benefitted in


particular Central America, the Caribbean countries, Mexico and


Ecuador. The surge in migration and remittances occurred mainly


during the crisis years of 1998 and 2003, though it did not decline


during the boom years of 2003-2008. Official remittances to the


region increased from US$ 2 to 59 billion dollars, or from 0.23% to


2% of regional GDP between 1980 and 2006 (Table 2). In 2007,


they accounted for 2.3% of the regional GDP (CEPAL 2007) but


for over 11% in Central America, 2.8% in Mexico and about 20%


in Grenada, Guyana and Jamaica. Interestingly, with the exception


of Ecuador and Uruguay, remittances played a greater role in


countries which did not experience terms of trade gains, meaning


that Latin American countries support their current balance by


exporting either primary commodities or migrant labor, and only a


modest amount of manufactured goods.

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