CHILD POVERTY AND INEQUALITY: THE WAY FORWARD

(Barry) #1

reduced the supply of foreign exchange through interventions in


the currency market, particularly during the massive capital inflows


of 2006 and 2007, adopted a coherent fiscal policy, and in a few


cases, introduced capital controls. The clearest example of this


policy can be seen in Argentina, where a competitive exchange


rate w a s a cornerstone of macroeconomic policy. There is


evidence that such policy shifted labor towards t h e labor-intensive


traded sector (mainly manufacturing) with a strong equalizing


effect (Damill 2004, cited in World Bank 2005).


In 2006 and 2007, this policy approach came under pressure owing


to large increases in export prices, capital inflows and remittances,


and several countries – both commodity exporters, and particularly


non-commodity exporters - experienced a mild-to-moderate real


appreciation (Figure 6). Indeed, the large current and capital


account surpluses realized in most of South America in 2006 and


2007 led to an appreciation of 4.8% o f the extra-regional real


exchange rate for the region as a whole. Stronger effects were


felt in Colombia, Brazil and Venezuela (Figure 6, and CEPAL


2007). Only Argentina, Bolivia (till 2006) and Panama experienced a


modest real depreciation, while in other countries there were no


changes (Figure 6). It must be noted however, that without a huge


accumulation of reserves and parallel sterilization efforts, several


countries would have shown stronger symptoms of Dutch Disease


and accelerating inflation in the non-tradable sector which would


have generated adverse distributive impacts (Taylor 2000).

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