The Economist - USA (2019-08-17)

(Antfer) #1

6 The EconomistAugust 17th 2019
The world this week Business


Spookedbyconcernsover
trade,geopoliticaltensions
andthepossibilityofreces-
sion,stockmarketshadtheir
worstdayoftheyearsofar.The
s&p 500 , DowJonesIndustrial
Averageandnasdaqindicesall
fellby3%ina day.InEurope
thedaxwasdownby2.2%and
theftse 100 by1.4%.Investors
wereparticularlyconcernedby
theyieldonlong-termAmeri-
cangovernmentbondsfalling
belowthatonshort-term
bondsforthefirsttimesince
2007.Suchayield-curve
inversionisusuallyseenasa
harbingerofa downturn.

Alsoweighingonmarketswas
newsthatGermany’sgdp
shrankby0.1%inthesecond
quartercomparedwiththe
previousthreemonths,un-
derliningtherecentfallin
Germanexportsandindustrial
output.Britain’seconomy
alsoshrankinthesecond
quarter,by0.2%,thefirst
contractionofBritishgdp
sincetheendof2012.

Meanwhile,thegrowthrateof
Chineseindustrialoutput
slowedto4.8%inJulycom-
paredwiththesamemonth
lastyear.Thatwastheslowest
paceinmorethan 17 yearsand
moreevidenceofthechilling
effectsofthetradewaronthe
Chineseeconomy.

Father Christmas
Earlier in the week, despon-
dent markets had lifted when
the Trump administration said
it would postpone a 10% tariff
on some Chinese imports until
December 15th. The list of
goods includes smartphones,
laptops, video-game consoles
and toys, which Donald Trump
suggested would benefit
shoppers in the run-up to
Christmas. The delay applies to
two-thirds of the products
subjected to this particular
levy. A 10% tariff will be collect-
ed on the other Chinese goods
from September 1st.

South Korearemoved Japan
from its list of trusted trading
partners, escalating a trade
dispute between the pair
(Japan dropped South Korea’s

preferential trading status
earlier this month). Trade
between the two countries will
now have to go through more
red tape.

Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia’s
state oil company, is to take a
20% stake in the refining and
chemicals assets owned by
Reliance Industries, an Indian
conglomerate. The deal, which
is still being negotiated, deep-
ens existing ties between the
companies and will be one of
the biggest foreign invest-
ments in India to date.

Boeingdelivered just 19 planes
in July, the least since the
financial crisis. The company
is holding more than 150 of its
737 maxaircraft, which have
been grounded after two fatal
crashes. The ripples from the
grounding continue to spread.
Norwegianairline said it was
ending flights from Ireland to
America in part because of the
“continued uncertainty” of the
737 max’s return to service. It is
Norwegian’s first retreat from a
transatlantic market it had
entered assertively.

Cathay Pacific’s share price
regained the ground it lost
amid protests at Hong Kong’s
airport. The territory’s biggest
airline was also ordered by
China’s aviation authority to

takecrewoffanyplanebound
forthemainlandif theysup-
portedtheprotesters.Cathay
saidit wouldcomply,leavingit
vulnerabletoclaimsofbeing
pro-Chinese.

Afteryearsofon-offnegotia-
tionswitha plotworthyofa
soapopera,Viacomandcbs
agreedtomerge,reunitingtwo
mediacompaniesthatwere
splitin 2006 andcombining
assetssuchasParamountand
mtvwithoneofAmerica’sbig
fournetworks.ShariRedstone,
whosefamilycontrolsboth
companies,willbecomechair-
womanofViacomcbs.

A minefield
Britain’s advertising authority
banned two tvads under new
rules on gender stereotyping.
One ad, for Volkswagen,
depicted men being more
adventurous than women. The
other, for Philadelphia cream
cheese, showed two men
distracted by lunch neglecting
their babies. Mondelez, the
maker of Philadelphia, said it
chose two dads “to deliberately
avoid the typical stereotype” of
two mothers. The regulator
disagreed, ruling that “the men
were portrayed as somewhat
hapless” and that the “humour
in the ad derived from the use
of the gender stereotype”.

WeWork’sparent company
filed documents for its eagerly
awaited ipo, which might
happen next month. The office
rental firm is the latest in a
string of high-profile startups
to float on the stockmarket this
year. Like many of its contem-
poraries, WeWork’s filing
suggests it struggles to make a
profit. In the first half of this
year it recorded a $905m loss.

Uber’ssharepricefellbya fifth
in the days after it revealed a
$5.2bn quarterly loss. Most of
that was because of share-
based compensation paid to
workers after Uber’s ipo, but
even on its favoured measure
of profitability it made a loss of
$656m, more than in the same
quarter last year. Dara Khos-
rowshahi, the chief executive,
accepted that investors were
frustrated with mounting
losses, conceding that “There’s
a meme around, which is, can
Uber ever be profitable?”.

Uber

Source: Company reports

Net losses, $bn

2017 18 19















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