The Economist - UK (2022-04-09)

(Antfer) #1
The Economist April 9th 2022 45
Asia

SriLanka

Lights out


U


ntil veryrecently Gotabaya Rajapak­
sa,  still  Sri  Lanka’s  president  as  The
Economistwent to press, was secure in his
job. After all, he had done much to consoli­
date  his  power.  Following  his  election  in
2019 he dissolved the legislature and filled
the government with relatives and cronies.
A thumping win for his coalition in parlia­
mentary elections in 2020 enabled him to
change  the  constitution,  handing  himself
even more power. 
Yet over the past few weeks Mr Rajapak­
sa’s hold on the country of 22m people has
been  slipping.  Sri  Lanka’s  economy  is  in
free  fall.  The  rupee  has  declined  by  more
than 30% against the dollar since the cen­
tral  bank  abandoned  its  peg  a  month  ago
(see  chart  on  next  page).  Fuel  and  food
have  been  in  short  supply  for  weeks.  Sri
Lankans wait hours in the heat to buy cook­
ing gas at exorbitant prices—if they can get
it at all. Power cuts of up to 13 hours a day
have  crippled  businesses,  including  the

budding  tech  industry.  Exams  have  been
postponed  for  lack  of  paper.  Hospitals
across  the  country  are  running  out  of  es­
sential  drugs.  Even  well­off  Sri  Lankans,
usually  insulated  from  such  crises,  have
found themselves facing shortages. 
All  this  is  a  product  of  long­running
economic imbalances, external shocks and
government  mismanagement.  An  earlier
Rajapaksa  government  headed  by  Mahin­
da, Gotabaya’s brother, borrowed heavily to
finance  infrastructure  projects  that  have
yet  to  generate  returns.  The  current  one
slashed  taxes,  which  bashed  government

revenue  just  before  the  pandemic  halted
tourist arrivals (a big source of foreign cur­
rency). It briefly banned fertiliser imports
to save dollars, hitting food production. 
The government then delayed going to
the imfuntil March, hoping that returning
tourists and help from China wouldtide it
over. But just as tourism began to recover,
Russia’s  invasion  of  Ukraine  pushed  up
commodity  prices  yet  again,  making  im­
ported fuel and food dearer still.
Economic  hardship  has  driven  people
into  the  streets.  Even  middle­class  types,
who usually steer clear of protests and un­
til  recently  approved  of  Mr  Rajapaksa’s
brand  of  strongman  ethno­nationalism,
now  put  the  blame  for  the  crisis  squarely
on  the  president.  “These  are  people  who
keep  liquor  cabinets  at  home,  not  those
who come to politically­organised protests
for a packet of rice and half a bottle of ar-
rack,” says Feroze Kamardeen, a playwright
in Colombo. 
It  has  not  helped  that  Mahinda’s  son
(and  minister  of  youth  and  sports),  was
spotted fly­boarding in the Maldives as Sri
Lankans struggled to buy food. People are
fed  up.  “Go  home  Gota!”—the  president’s
nickname—read  the  signs  mounted  on
everything  from  broomsticks  to  pets’  col­
lars. By “home” they mean America, where
Mr Rajapaksa lived for several years.
The  government,  failing  to  read  the

C OLOMBO AND DELHI
A deep economic crisis has created a political one

→Alsointhissection
46 ImranKhan’sstickywicket
47 Banyan:India’sillusionofautonomy
48 RisingtensionsintheKoreas
48 AUKUS goes hypersonic
Free download pdf