Paris Climate Agreement Beacon of Hope

98

Table 2.3

(continued)

CMIP5 GCM

Modeling Center

Ensemble run

GCM-AAWR (°C/dec)LIN

REG

FGOALS-g2

Institute of Atmos. Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

r1i1p1

0.179

0.185

FIO-ESM

First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, China

r1i1p1

0.188

0.192

r2i1p1

0.184

0.187

r3i1p1

0.203

0.207

Mod Avg

0.191

0.195

GFDL-CM2.1

NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, United States

r1i1p1

0.261

0.250

r2i1p1

0.319

0.319

r3i1p1

0.297

0.266

r4i1p1

0.294

0.262

r5i1p1

0.301

0.287

r6i1p1

0.197

0.203

r7i1p1

0.253

0.226

r8i1p1

0.274

0.278

r9i1p1

0.202

0.194

r10i1p1

0.263

0.245

Mod Avg

0.266

0.253

GFDL-CM3

r1i1p1

0.270

0.257

GFDL-ESM2G

r1i1p1

0.275

0.253

GFDL-ESM2M

r1i1p1

0.204

0.183

Ctr Avg

0.262

0.248

2 Forecasting Global Warming