Paris Climate Agreement Beacon of Hope

101

CMIP5 GCM

Modeling Center

Ensemble run

GCM-AAWR (°C/dec)LIN

REG

MIROC-ESM

Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (Univ. of Tokyo), and National Institute for Environmental Studies

r1i1p1

0.177

0.172

MIROC-ESM-

CHEM

r1i1p1

0.170

0.156

Ctr Avg

0.174

0.164

MIROC4h

Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (Univ. of Tokyo), National Institute for Environmental Studies, and Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology

r1i1p1

0.252

0.251

r2i1p1

0.300

0.282

r3i1p1

0.317

0.299

Mod Avg

0.290

0.277

MIROC5

r1i1p1

0.278

0.273

r2i1p1

0.187

0.154

r3i1p1

0.287

0.256

Mod Avg

0.251

0.228

Ctr Avg

0.270

0.252

MPI-ESM-LR

Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology), Germany

r1i1p1

0.161

0.144

r2i1p1

0.248

0.224

r3i1p1

0.212

0.205

Mod Avg

0.207

0.191

MPI-ESM-MR

r1i1p1

0.272

0.256

r2i1p1

0.199

0.184

r3i1p1

0.239

0.225

Mod Avg

0.237

0.222

Ctr Avg

0.222

0.206

MRI-CGCM3

Meteorological Research Institute, Japan

r1i1p1

0.089

0.075

NorEMS1-M

Norwegian Climate Centre

r1i1p1

0.156

0.157

NorEMS1-ME

r1i1p1

0.180

0.172

Ctr Avg

0.168

0.164

(continued)

2.6 Methods

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