xiContents
1 Earth’s Climate System ............................................................................ 1
Ross J. Salawitch, Brian F. Bennett, Austin P. Hope,
Walter R. Tribett, and Timothy P. Canty
1.1 Earth’s Climate History ...................................................................... 1
1.2 The Anthropocene .............................................................................. 7
1.2.1 Radiative Forcing ................................................................... 8
1.2.2 Global Warming Potential ...................................................... 12
1.2.3 Human Fingerprints ............................................................... 14
1.3 Methods .............................................................................................. 35
References ................................................................................................... 42
2 Forecasting Global Warming ................................................................... 51
Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Ross J. Salawitch,
Walter R. Tribett, and Brian F. Bennett
2.1 Introduction ........................................................................................ 51
2.2 Empirical Model of Global Climate .................................................. 56
2.2.1 Formulation ............................................................................ 57
2.3 Attributable Anthropogenic Warming Rate ....................................... 77
2.4 Global Warming Hiatus ..................................................................... 83
2.5 Future Temperature Projections ......................................................... 85
2.6 Methods .............................................................................................. 93
References ................................................................................................... 107
3 Paris INDCs ............................................................................................... 115
Walter R. Tribett, Ross J. Salawitch, Austin P. Hope,
Timothy P. Canty, and Brian F. Bennett
3.1 Introduction ........................................................................................ 115
3.2 Prior Emissions .................................................................................. 120
3.2.1 Global ..................................................................................... 121
3.2.2 National .................................................................................. 126