The Washington Post - USA (2022-04-25)

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A2 EZ SU THE WASHINGTON POST.MONDAY, APRIL 25 , 2022


CORRECTION


l The John Kelly’s Washington
column in the April 21 Metro
section, about class reunions
returning after pandemic-related
delays, gave an incorrect date for
the Northwood High Class of
1971 reunion. It is Oct. 15, not
Oct. 5.

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BY AMBER PHILLIPS


Republicans have a good shot
at taking back both chambers of
Congress in November’s midterm
elections.
But they could rise or fall based
on who the party chooses in
primary elections this spring and
summer. “How could you screw
this up? It’s actually possible,”
Senate Minority Leader Mitch
McConnell (R-Ky.) recently
warned his party. (The Senate is
split 50-50, and Democrats hold
the majority in the House by just
a few seats.)
Even in safe races Republicans
expect to win this November, the
real drama is playing out in the
primaries. In many of these con-
tests, former president Donald
Trump has put his reputation at
stake by endorsing unconven-
tional candidates and pursuing
vendettas against members of his
party who bucked him while he
was president.
Here are the most interesting
Republican primaries to watch.
Ohio: This might be the year’s
most contentious primary. In
Ohio, a state Trump won twice,
Republicans can grab a rare open
Senate seat. For months, the for-
mer president stayed out of the
primary and watched as the can-
didates tried to out-Trump each
other with controversial state-
ments. On April 15, he endorsed
“Hillbilly Elegy” author and for-
mer Trump critic J.D. Vance, even
though, according to Washington
Post reporting, some of Trump’s
own advisers wanted him to
choose former state GOP chair
Jane Timken or former Ohio trea-
surer Josh Mandel, whom they
view as more electable statewide.
“It is all about winning!” Trump
said in a statement in which he
acknowledged Vance’s anti-

Trump past and asserting that the
candidate gets it now. (Vance
went so far to the right that he
won the backing of Rep. Marjorie
Taylor Greene, a Republican pro-
vocateur who represents Geor-
gia.) The primary is May 3.
Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania,
as a swing state, could determine
which party controls the Senate
next year — and Trump made
another endorsement unpopular
with his party when he backed TV
doctor Mehmet Oz for its open
seat. The first candidate Trump
endorsed dropped out over do-
mestic abuse allegations. Skip-
ping over a much more tradition-
al candidate, former hedge fund
manager David McCormick, to
endorse Oz is another risky move.
Oz’s candidacy was originally
treated as a joke by establishment
Republicans, and opponents
could mine his years of controver-
sial medical statements. “I’m a
gambler,” Trump told an adviser,
report The Post’s Josh Dawsey
and Michael Scherer. The pri-
mary is May 17.
Georgia governor and secre-
tary of state: I n Georgia, Trump
is focused on proving that the
Republican Party supports his
false claims of election fraud.
Gov. Brian Kemp (R) refused to
help Trump overturn his 2020
loss in the state, so Trump en-
dorsed Kemp’s challenger, former
Republican senator David Per-
due. (Perdue lost his seat in the
2021 runoff — a loss GOP Senate
leaders blame on Trump and his
fraud claims.) For secretary of
state, Trump is backing a con-
gressman willing to elevate his
false fraud claims, Rep. Jody Hice
— unlike the incumbent, Brad
Raffensperger. The primary is
May 24.
North Carolina: Trump
picked the underdog in North

Carolina’s open Senate race — a
seat Republicans probably need
to hold to take back the majority.
He endorsed Rep. Ted Budd over
candidates including North Caro-
lina’s former governor, Pat Mc-
Crory. But Trump’s riskier en-
dorsement in the state is for Rep.
Madison Cawthorn’s reelection.
Trump backed Cawthorn at a
recent rally. After Cawthorn al-
leged that D.C. leaders used co-
caine and invited him to an orgy,
top Republicans started actively
supporting one of his challeng-
ers, state Sen. Chuck Edwards.
The primary is May 17.
Alaska: Alaska has an open
primary — meaning candidates
compete against each other re-
gardless of party — b ut the Re-
publicans are the ones to watch.
Sarah Palin is running for Alas-
ka’s lone congressional seat. She
is one of the best-known politi-
cians in the country and has
Trump’s endorsement — but it’s
not a given that she’ll win. “I
think maybe she left us behind
somewhere on the way to fame,”
Republican voter Jesse Sumner
told The Post’s Libby Casey.
Trump also endorsed Kelly Tshi-
baka to challenge Sen. Lisa Mur-
kowski (R), who voted to convict
Trump after the House im-
peached him for his role in the
Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Mur-
kowski is still competitive in part
because of Alaska’s new ranked-
choice voting system, which re-
wards less-partisan candidates.
The special primary for the open
House seat is June 11; the rest of
Alaska’s primaries are Aug. 16.
Liz Cheney and the impeach-
ment Republicans: Ten House
Republicans voted to impeach
Trump for his role in the Jan. 6
Capitol riot. Four have retired,
but six are running for reelection,
and Trump is propping up pri-

mary challengers against all of
them. (Trump recently bragged to
The Post t hat one of the six, Tom
Rice, “is getting crushed in South
Carolina.”) His top target is
Cheney in Wyoming, who has
been kicked out of House GOP
leadership for her role in the
Jan. 6 investigation. Wyoming’s
primary is Aug. 16.
Alabama: There are few Re-
publican politicians who champi-
oned Trump’s false 2020 fraud
claims as much as Rep. Mo
Brooks of Alabama, who is run-
ning for an open Senate seat. He
had Trump’s endorsement — un-
til Trump revoked it, complaining
that Brooks wanted to focus too
much on future elections rather
than look back on 2020 (which is
often the code GOP politicians
use when they don’t agree with
Trump’s false claims). Now
Brooks is trying to win without
Trump, against well-funded (yet
less Trumpian) opponents Katie
Britt and Mike Durant. The pri-
mary is May 24.
Idaho governor: This is an
under-the-radar race, but Trump
made a bold and odd move by
endorsing Idaho’s No. 2, Lt. Gov.
Janice McGeachin, to challenge
Idaho’s No. 1, Gov. Brad Little.
Little has taken no public stand
against Trump. The only clue we
have is that McGeachin has tried
to remove coronavirus restric-
tions when Little goes out of
state, only to have Little reverse
them when he returns. Unseating
a governor is one of the hardest
things to do in politics, but
Trump is going to try. (In another
red state’s race for governor,
Trump is campaigning for a con-
troversial candidate: Charles
Herbster, who is running in Ne-
braska and has been accused of
sexual assault.) Idaho’s primary is
May 17.

ANALYSIS


Keep an eye on t hose intriguing GOP primaries...


BY AMBER PHILLIPS


As Democrats try to maintain
their tenuous hold on power in
Congress in November, they’re
battling over who should repre-
sent them in big races.
Primaries this spring and sum-
mer are pitting liberal challeng-
ers against more established can-
didates — and in some cases, it’s
moderate candidates trying to
unseat incumbent, but more lib-
eral, Democrats. Plus, redistrict-
ing is forcing some big names in
Democratic politics to face off
against each other.
Democrats are anxious about
nominating their most electable
candidates. The Senate is split
50-50, Democrats hold the major-
ity in the House by just a few
seats, and President Biden’s ap-
proval rating remains low. His-
torically, the party in power in
midterm elections tends to lose
seats.
Here are the most interesting
Democratic primaries to watch.
A marquee Pennsylvania Sen-
ate race: If Democrats want to
keep their hold on the Senate
majority, they probably need to
win in Pennsylvania. The state’s
lieutenant governor, John Fetter-
man, is running for the party’s
nomination with his distinctive
style: He’s tall and bald, cam-
paigns in a hoodie and gym
shorts, and champions liberal
causes while stumping in rural,
pro- Trump communities. He’s
leading in the polls. As The Wash-
ington Post’s David Weigel points
out, more moderate Democrats
like Rep. Conor Lamb and state

Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta are try-
ing and struggling to cut into
Fetterman’s lead, like by attack-
ing him over an incident years
ago in which Fetterman con-
fronted a Black man with a gun.
The primary is May 17.
A liberal challenging a long-
time Democrat in Texas: In
March, a 28-year-old liberal
forced one of Texas’s longest-
serving House Democrats into a
runoff. Jessica Cisneros is actual-
ly a former intern for Rep. Henry
Cuellar. She has the backing of
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(D-N .Y.) and argues that in this
heavily Hispanic district, voters
support more liberal policies like
Medicare-for-all. By contrast,
Cuellar is the last remaining
House Democrat to oppose abor-
tion rights. She also ran against
Cuellar two years ago and nearly
won. Now, she will try to defeat
Cuellar in a runoff on May 24.
Wisconsin Senate: This fall,
Democrats would love to unseat
Sen. Ron Johnson (R), who has
embraced Trumpian, baseless
claims and is running for reelec-
tion in a state that narrowly
voted for Biden. First, they’ve got
to decide who will run against
him. It’s a c rowded primary; the
top of the list of candidates in-
cludes Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes,
who has the backing of Sen.
Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.); Mil-
waukee Bucks executive Alex
Lasry; state Treasurer Sarah
Godlewski; and a county execu-
tive, Tom Nelson. The primary is
Aug. 9.
New York lieutenant gover-
nor’s race: We didn ’t expect this

race to be on the list, but in April,
New York Lt. Gov. Brian Benja-
min resigned after being charged
with corruption. Gov. Kathy
Hochul (D) — who took over last
year after her predecessor, An-
drew M. Cuomo (D) resigned over
allegations of sexual misconduct
— had backed Benjamin for his
reelection. Now Democrats are
unsure they can get him off the
ballot for the primary, since the
New York Democratic Party al-
ready nominated him as its can-
didate. The race for the job is now
wide open; campaigns are still
taking shape. The primary is
June 28.
Liberals go after a moderate
Democrat in Oregon: The ranks
of politically centrist Democrats
are dwindling in Congress —
especially this year, as the num-
ber of competitive congressional
districts plummets due to redis-
tricting. In Oregon, liberal lead-
ers are trying to oust moderate
Rep. Kurt Schrader, who had to
apologize last year after compar-
ing Trump’s second impeach-
ment to a “lynching.” Warren and
other powerful liberals have
backed a c redible challenger,
school board member Jamie
McLeod-Skinner. But moderate
Democrats fear if she wins, Dem-
ocrats will lose this seat, because
it’s one of the rare congressional
seats in the entire country drawn
to be more c ompetitive. The pri-
mary is May 17.
Establishment challengers to
liberal members of Congress:
Two years ago, we wrote about
how Democrats like Cori Bush in
Missouri and Jamaal Bowman in
New York unseated big names in
their party primaries. Now, these
two more liberal members are
facing primary challengers of
their own — from the center of
their party. In New York, local
lawmaker Vedat Gashi is chal-
lenging Bowman, saying he finds
Bowman’s ties to the far left
“offensive.” In Missouri, state

Sen. Steven Roberts Jr. is chal-
lenging Bush’s votes to cut de-
fense spending and other posi-
tions not in line with the party.
(Ro berts is accused of rape,
which he denies.) New York’s
primary is in June; Missouri’s is
on Aug. 2.
A race to the left in North
Carolina: In North Carolina, a
House seat is open in a newly
redrawn — and heavily Demo-
cratic — district. Since the win-
ner of the primary is likely to be
the next member of Congress,
this wide-open primary is where
we’ll see the real competition.
The top candidates are playing to
their firsts: Democrats could go
with Nida Allam, the first Muslim
woman elected to public office in
the state, or Clay Aiken, the
former “American Idol” contes-
tant who has run for Congress
once and says he wants to be the
South’s first openly gay congress-
man. The primary is May 17.
Democrat vs. Democrat in re-
districting: Every decade, based
on new census data, every state
redraws its congressional and
state legislative districts. That’s
happening now. Politicians try to
draw lines that benefit their party
(called gerrymandering), but
sometimes they wind up with
new districts that pit some of
their own lawmakers against
eac h other.
In Georgia, two popular House
Democrats have to face off in a
primary to win one district: Caro-
lyn Bourdeaux and Lucy McBath.
Same in Illinois, where Democrat
Sean Casten is in a primary
against Democrat Marie New-
man, who is facing a House ethics
probe tied to her 2020 campaign.
In Michigan, Haley Stevens and
Andy Levin are fighting in what
could be an ugly primary to
represent the same district after
Michigan lost a congressional
seat. There are a handful of
House Republicans in similar po-
sitions because of redistricting.

... a nd these interesting Democratic primaries


Justice in Indian
Country
This eye-opening report is the
product of a year-long investigation
into how the legal system in Indian
country fails some of America’s
most vulnerable citizens—and what
is being done to begin to rectify an
ongoing tragedy. Sari Horwitz,
recipient of the ASNE Award for
Distinguished Writing on Diversity,
traveled to an Indian reservation in
Minnesota to interview a Native
American woman who had been
sexually assaulted, as had her
mother and daughter. In each case,
the assailants, who were not Native
American, were not prosecuted due
to loopholes in the laws on
jurisdiction of criminal prosecution
on Indian reservations. This story
set her off on a journey across the
country, into remote villages and
tribal lands where Horwitz
uncovered the widespread failures
of the American legal system and
its inability to protect Native
American women and children.

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