The Economist - UK (2022-04-30)

(Antfer) #1

24 Britain TheEconomistApril30th 2022


broadcasting regulator  which  enforces
rules  on  impartiality,  but  it  has  largely
flopped in the ratings. 
The  lukewarm  reception  for  gbNews
might  seem  like  a  bad  signal  for  another
talking­heads  channel.  But  Talktv has
some  important  advantages.  The  first  is
the sheer volume of journalism that News
uk,  the  British  arm  of  News  Corp,  already
produces. As well as TalkRadio (a phone­in
station  whose  shows  are  being  simulcast
on  the  new  channel),  its  athletic  sibling
TalkSport  and  the  higher­brow  Times  Ra­
dio, the firm publishes newspapers includ­
ing the Timesand the Sun. “The journalistic
talent that is already inside the building in
News  ukcan  be  deployed  in  ever  more
ways,”  says  Douglas  McCabe  of  Enders
Analysis, a research firm. 
Second,  Talktvis  focusing  heavily  on
online  platforms.  Presenters  sound  off  to
camera,  creating  viral  content  alongside
which  the  channel  hopes  to  sell  advertis­
ing. A shift to social platforms has helped
lbc, TalkRadio’s biggest commercial rival.
Videos  of  its  presenters  and  guests  travel
much  further  on  social  media  than  audio
clips  do,  helping  to  make  it  Britain’s  fast­
est­growing talk­radio station. 
In Mr Morgan, Talktvhas a third big as­
set.  The  presenter  has  a  knack  for  specta­
cle.  An  average  of  317,000  people  watched
his  interview  with  Mr  Trump  (more  will
have  seen  it  online).  That  is  double  the
number  who  tuned  in  to  the  bbc’s  news
channel  at  the  same  time,  and  almost  a
third more than watched the launch of gb
News. Nic Newman of the Reuters Institute
for the Study of Journalism at Oxford Uni­
versity  notes  that  although  viewers  often
tell surveys that they value impartiality in
news,  the  success  of  stations  such  as  lbc
shows  the  importance  of  entertainment,
too. If Talktvcan get the mix right,ithas a
shot  at  persuading  Britons to abandon
more restrained news channels.n

No tears for Piers

Highereducation

Book value


M


orethana millionEnglishstudents
takeouta studentloaneachyear.But
forthepastdecadetheterm“studentloan”
hasbeena misnomer.Formost,theagree­
mentworksmorelikea graduatetaxwith
anexpirydate.Graduatespay9%oftheir
earnings aboveacertainthreshold (cur­
rently£27,295,or$34,695,a year)towards
repayingtheirdebt.Anythingstillowing
after 30 yearsiswrittenoff.
FromSeptember 2023 thissystemisset
tochange.TheDepartmentforEducation
(dfe) announceda suiteofreformsearlier
thisyear.Theyrangefromtheeye­catching
(forgiving thedebtafter 40 yearsrather
than30)tothewonkish(loweringtheearn­
ingsthresholdandchangingthewayitis
indexed).Takentogether,theyamountto
the biggest overhaul ofstudent finance
sincetuitionfeesweretripledin2012.Ben
WaltmannoftheInstituteforFiscalStud­
ies,a think­tank,estimatesthatunderthe
newsystem,nearlythree­quartersofgrad­
uateswillrepaytheirdebtinfull,upfrom
onlya quarterundertheoldone.
Forthecohortstartinguniversitynext
year,thechangeswillmeana bigredistri­
butionofwhopayswhattowardshigher
education(seeright­handchart).Lesspu­
nitive interest rates for higher earners
meanthatthoseinthetopdecileoflife­
time earnings can expect to pay back
£25,000lessthan underthecurrent ar­
rangement.Meanwhile,theextendedre­
payment term and the lower earnings
threshold mean that lower and middle
earners will pay more:around £30,000
moreforthoseinthethirdincomedecile.

Thereformshavemuchtorecommend
them. There is some evidence that the
prospectoftakingondebthasa deterrent
effectonpeoplefrompoorerbackgrounds
whoareconsideringgoingtouniversity.
Buttheearningsthresholdcontinues to
protectpeoplefromrepaymentsuntilthey
are pocketing acertain wage.Taxpayers
willsave£2.8bnforeachuniversitycohort.
Incentiveschangeingoodways:encourag­
ingstudentstopicksubjectsthatwillin­
creasetheir lifetimeearningsisinboth
theirandtheeconomy’sinterests.
But thechanges fail to fixsome big
shortcomings in thecurrent set­up.Mr
Waltmann points out that maintenance
support,loanstohelppayforlivingcosts,
isnowfallingfastinrealterms.Payments
arebasedonoldforecastsofretailpricein­
dex (rpi) inflation that underestimated
howquicklytheindexwouldrise.Hecal­
culates that students from the poorest
families will receive£100 amonth less
thantheywouldhavedonehadtheirsup­
portbeenlinkedtoactualrpiinflation.At
thesametime,interestratesforexisting
borrowersaresettosoarinSeptember.Al­
thoughthedfemustcaptheseinlinewith
commercialrates,ittypicallydoessowith
a six­monthdelay.Forhigherearners,that
implieshalfa yearofpaying12%interest,
nearlydoublethecommercialrate.
Worse,aswellaschangingtherulesfor
futurestudents,thereformsalsorewrite
repaymenttermsfortheroughly3.5mpeo­
plewhohavetakenoutloanssince2012.A
frozen earnings threshold will increase
theirmonthlyrepaymentsfromthisSep­
tember,justastherisingcostoflivingreal­
lystartstobite.Linkingthisthresholdin
thefuturetotherpi, a flawedmeasureof
inflationthatissettobereformed,bakes
infurtheruncertainty.Thesechangesdo
notjusthurtexistingborrowersinevery
earningsdecile(seeleft­handchart),but
alsoriskdeterringfuturestudents.Why
takeoutaloanifthetermscanchange
wheneverthegovernmentwants? n

Studentfinanceisgettingyet
anotheroverhaul

Learning and earning
Britain, estimated lifetime gain/loss from student-loan reforms, by university entry year, £’000

Source:InstituteforFiscalStudies *2023 only

Netchange

40

20

0

-20

-40

-60
9876 4321 10 Average

2022

←Poorer Earningsdecile Richer→

40

20

0

-20

-40

-60
9876 4321 10 Average

2023

Threshold changes Continuingfeefreeze Extended repayment term* Lower interest rate*

← Poorer Earnings decile Richer →
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