The Economist April 30th 2022 TheAmericas 39
not account for the carbonopportunity
cost, or what the land could havecaptured
if it were used for other things. Biogascap
tures waste emissions, but notmethane
from cows’ belches. Carbonneutralbeef
“sounds like an oxymoron to me”, says
Matthew Hayek of New York University.
Even so, the quest for carbon neutrality
is driving change across the sector.Cara
preta, a meat company, owns threefarms
in Minas Gerais, in southeasternBrazil.In
one, tilapia fish are bred in tanksandthe
water they swim in is used on thefarm’s
grain. The grain becomes animalfeedfor
the 70,000 cattle the farm slaughtersevery
year. Meat scraps are processedintofish
food, while animal waste is convertedinto
fertiliser and biogas. This gas helpsmake
the farm selfsufficient in renewableener
gy. All this, the company claims, willeven
tually make the farm carbonnegative.By
2024 Carapreta’s owners expect tohavein
vested $1bn reais ($208m) in the company.
However even with such largeresourc
es, Carapreta still struggles to make its
farming fully ecofriendly. In a countryal
most the size of the United States,butwith
shoddy infrastructure, some ofitscattle
are moved in trucks thousandsof kilo
metres from other states. The company
buys cattle feed from Cargill, an American
food giant. Organic fertiliser is difficultto
produce: fully 70% of Carapreta’sinputs
are chemical.
Breadbasket breaking point
And the Carapreta team is keen toencour
age more consumption of meat,notless.
“It’s something that you can eat everyday,
it’s good for you and for the environment
as a whole,” says Gabriel Géo, thechief
marketing officer. But on the hectarethatit
takes to graze a Carapreta cow, anaverage
Brazilian farm could produce 28 tonnesof
potatoes or five tonnes of corn.
Most Brazilian farmers do not havemil
lions to invest in satisfying conscientious
consumers. This includes the smalland
mediumsized farms which produced
around twothirds of food by value in
2006, the latest year for whichdataare
available. Only 15% of Brazilian farmsre
port having access to credit, accordingtoa
study by the World Bank. It is alsoharder
for farms to pivot to different commod
ities, such as wheat, says Lygia Pimentelof
Agrifatto, a consultancy.
Brazil also imports 85% of its fertiliser.
Nearly half of that came from Russiaand
Belarus last year. In March the farmminis
ter said that the country only hasenough
fertiliser to last until October, raisingthe
possibility of a crisis when theplanting
season begins in September. Its farmersal
ready feed over 800m people, andmore
cheaply than other big producers.Butfill
ing all the bowls Vladimir Putin hasemp
tied is too big a task for Brazil alone.n
El Salvador
Ironfist
O
utsidethepublicdefender’sofficein
SanSalvador,wherelawyersemployed
bythestateprovidefreelegalcounsel,the
pavement throngs with people seeking
helpforrelativeswhohavebeensweptup
inmassarrests.Lawyersinstructthemon
whichdocumentstobringtocourt.Autil
itybillishelpfulproofofidentity,saysone.
“Whatifwedon’thaverunningwateror
electricitywherewelive?”asksa woman.
Ina terrifyingoutburstofgangviolence
inMarch, 87 peoplewerekilledinthree
days.PresidentNayibBukelehascracked
downand—tonoone’ssurprise—awarded
himselfmorepowers.OnApril24ththe
LegislativeAssembly,whichthepresident
controls,extendeda stateofemergencyfor
a secondmonth.Citizensarebarredfrom
gatheringingroupsoutside.Thepoliceno
longerneedtogiveanexplanationwhen
arresting people. Since the emergency
powerscameintoforcetheyhaverounded
upmorethan19,000.Smallcrowdswait
outside prisons, hoping to locate their
lovedones.
Manyofthosewhohavebeenarrested
aregangmembers,orpandilleros. Butquite
a fewarenot.MrBukeleestimatesthaton
ly1%ofarrestsaremistakes.Otherssus
pectthefigureismuchhigher.MarioAl
bertoAguirresayshispartnerJoseline,a
20yearold street vendor,was detained
simply“because shehastattoos”.Gangs
arecoveredinthem,butsince 2005 they
have notaccepted womenmembers,al
thoughtheycanbecollaborators.
Evenifthenewmeasuresharminno
centpeople,theyarepopular.Inonerecent
poll,nineoutoftenSalvadoreanssaidthey
approved of the president’s mano dura
(ironfist)approach.Alcides,a 58yearold
taxidriverwhomovedhouseafterreceiv
ingthreatsfromBarrio18,oneofthetwo
maingangsinthecountry,sayshedidnot
mindbeingstoppedby police.Thecops
askedhim andhisson to removetheir
shirtstoseeif theyhadtattoos.“Itoldthem
we’reheretocooperatebecauseGodhas
enlightenedthepresident,”saysAlcides.
Partlythankstohistoughapproachto
crime,MrBukele’sapprovalratingshover
around80%,thehighestintheregion.Ma
nySalvadoreansgivehimcreditfora sharp
fallinthehomiciderate,thoughthetrend
started well before he took office (see
chart).Murdersfellfroma peakof 103 per
100,000peoplein 2015 to17.6in2021.
The president,anavidtweeter, posts
photos and videos of halfnaked men
shackledtogetherinprisons.Thiscreatesa
vividimpressionthatheisdoingsome
thing.Butitdoeslittletoaddresstheun
derlyingcauses ofcrime.Someanalysts
speculatethatthecurrentcrackdownmay
be intended partly to distract attention
fromrumoursthattherecentviolencewas
causedbya ruptureinrelationsbetween
thegovernmentandthegangs.
Mr Bukele denies negotiating with
gangs,as previousadministrations have
done. But evidence, such as records of
meetingsbetweenofficialsandganglead
erspublishedinElFaro, a localnewsout
let, suggests that the government gave
privilegessuchasconjugalvisitstoimpris
onedgangmembersandjobstothoseon
theoutside.Inexchange,thegangsagreed
tokillfewerpeopleandsupporttheruling
partyinelections. Inthepastyearfour
leadersofms13,theotherbigcriminalout
fit,havebeenreleasedandshieldedfrom
extraditiontotheUnitedStates.
MrBukelehasnevershownmuchre
gardfor democraticnorms. He hasdis
missedtopjudgesandreplacedthemwith
loyalists.In 2020 hebargedintothelegis
laturewithguntotingsoldierstointimi
datelawmakersintovotingforhissecurity
budget. Some fear that the emergency
powerswillbeextendedrepeatedly.
Previous administrations have also
usedlamanodura. ButMrBukeleisunusu
allyharsh.Whenthegovernmentarrested
gangmembersin 2003 ittookayearto
roundup19,000people,ratherthana few
weeks.MrBukelehasintroducednewlaws
to increase the maximum sentence for
gangmembershipfromnineyearsto45.
Childrenasyoungas 12 arebeinglocked
up.Anotherlawappearstomakereporting
oncrimeillegalbybanningthereproduc
tionofgangmessagesthatmightgenerate
“panicorunease”.Journalistscouldfaceup
to 15 yearsforreportingmaterialsourced
fromgangs.Thatwillmakeitharderfor
SalvadoreanstoassesswhetherMrBukele
issuccessfullycrackingdownoncrime,or
justboastingaboutit.n
S ANSALVADOR
PresidentNayibBukelehaslockedup
19,000peopleina month
Peak pandillero?
El Salvador, homicide rate per 100,000 people
Source:NationalCivilPolice *ToMarch 27th
100
80
60
40
20
0
22*20181614122010
Nayib Bukele
becomes
president