Science News - USA (2022-05-07)

(Maropa) #1

8 SCIENCE NEWS | May 7, 2022 & May 21, 2022


MARTIN MEISSNER/AP IMAGES

NEWS


EARTH & ENVIRONMENT


U.N. report calls for climate action now


Strategies exist to halve greenhouse gas emissions by 2030


BY CAROLYN GRAMLING AND
NIKK OGASA


The world already has the know-how
and tools to dramatically reduce green-
house gas emissions, and we need to
use those tools immediately if we hope
to forestall the worst impacts of climate
change. That’s the message of the latest
installment of the sixth assessment of
climate science by the United Nations’
I ntergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, which was released on April 4.
Global warming is fueling extreme
weather events around the world, and
Earth is on track to warm by an average
of about 3.2 degrees Celsius above p re-
industrial levels by the end of the c entury
(SN: 9/11/21, p. 8; SN: 3/26/22, p. 7). Alter-
ing that course and limiting warming to
1.5 degrees or even 2 degrees C means
global greenhouse gas emissions should
peak no later than 2025, the report states.
Right now, meeting that goal looks
extremely unlikely. National and corporate
pledges to reduce greenhouse gas emis-
sions to date amount to “a litany of broken
c limate promises,” said U.N. Secretary-
General António Guterres at a news event
announcing the report’s release.
But there is reason for hope, says
forest ecologist Bronson Griscom of
C onservation International, an environ-
mental organization based in Arlington, Va.
“This report is basically saying, ‘Look, if we


don’t do anything, it’s increasingly grim.’
But the reasons to do something are
incredibly powerful and the tools in the
toolbox are very powerful,” says Griscom,
who was not an author of the report.
Those tools are strategies that govern-
ments, industries and individuals can use
to cut emissions immediately in multiple
sectors of the global economy, including
transportation, energy, urban develop-
ment, agriculture and forestry. Taking
immediate action to reduce emissions in
each sector could halve global emissions
by 2030, the report states.
Consider the transportation sector,
which contributed 15 percent of human-
related greenhouse gas emissions in


  1. Globally, electric vehicle sales have
    surged over the last few years, driven by
    government policies and tougher emis-
    sions laws (SN: 12/18/21 & 1/1/22, p. 28).
    If the surge continues, “electric vehi-
    cles offer us the greatest potential [to
    reduce transportation emissions on
    land], as long as they’re combined with
    low- or zero-carbon electricity sources,”
    Diana Ürge-Vorsatz, vice chair of the cli-
    mate change panel’s Working Group III,
    said at the news event. For aviation and
    long-haul shipping, which are difficult to
    e lectrify, reduced carbon emissions could
    be achieved with low-carbon hydrogen
    fuels or biofuels.
    Urban areas c ontributed 67 to 72


Solar panels float on a lake in western Germany on April 1. A new United Nations climate report
outlines numerous changes the world can make now, including shifting to solar and other sources
of renewable energy, that would halve global greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.


p ercent of global greenhouse gas emis-
sions in 2020, the report notes. To cut
emissions, buildings in established c ities
could be retrofitted with systems that
capture greenhouse gases and repur-
posed to make the c ities more walkable
and public transportation more accessi-
ble. C ities that are just getting established
could incorporate energy-efficient infra-
structure and construct buildings using
low- or zero-emissions materials.
As for agriculture and forestry, these
and other land use sectors contribute
about 22 percent of the world’s green-
house gas emissions, with about half
coming from deforestation (SN: 7/3/21 &
7/17/21, p. 24). Reforestation and reduced
deforestation are key to flipping the bal-
ance between carbon dioxide emissions
and removal from the atmosphere. Other
strategies at the world’s fingertips include
more sustainable management of ecosys-
tems, l ivestock, crops and soil.
The report also includes a c hapter
on the “untapped potential” of life-
style changes to reduce emissions (SN:
5/9/20 &­5/23/20,­p.­34). Such changes
include shifting toward plant-based diets
and walking, cycling and using public
transportation in lieu of driving. If these
and other changes are enabled by policies,
infrastructure and technology, they could
cut emissions by 40 to 70 percent by 2050.
Government policies are key to financ-
ing these transformational changes. Global
investment in climate-related technologies
needs to ramp up fast to limit w arming, the
report states. By 2030, investments and
other financial transactions to support
these transitions need to be three to six
times as high as they are now.
Reducing emissions alone isn’t enough
to keep planetary warming below
2 degrees C, the report notes. Technolo-
gies that capture CO 2 from the air and
store the gas underground could help. But
these options are in their infancy, and we
don’t yet know how much of an impact
they’ll have, says Simon Nicholson, co-
director of the Institute for Carbon
Removal Law and Policy at American Uni-
versity in Washington, D.C., who was not
involved in the report. “We need massive
investment now in research,” he says.
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