Migration from the Middle East and North Africa to Europe Past Developments, Current Status, and Future Potentials (Amsterdam..
barry
(Barry)
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12 FigurEs ANd tAblEs
- CoNtENts
- 6 The uncertainties involved in calculating migration
- 6.1 Preface: The methodological problem
- 6.2 Uncertainties in security policy
- forced migration? 6.3 The ‘Islamist threat’: The main source of conf licts and
- subsequent migration 6.4 The security risks posed by climate change with
- 6.5 Hotspots of regional conf lict and migration
- 6.6 Uncertain and rather dismal perspectives
- 6.7 Conclusions
- References
- 7 Demographic developments in the MENA region Part III Prognosis, scenarios and forecasts
- 7.1 Introduction Ralf E. Ulrich
- 7.2 Population dynamics of the MENA region
- 7.3 Future population dynamics: Potential and limitations
- 7.4 The relevance of the uneven demographic development
- 7.5 Conclusion
- References
- 8 Estimating migration potential: Egypt, Morocco and Turkey
- 8.1 Preliminary remarks Heinz Fassmann
- 8.2 Methods of estimating migration potential
- 8.3 Future population
- 8.4 Demography-driven calculation of the migration potential
- 8.5 Conclusion
- References
- 9 Migration scenarios: Turkey, Egypt and Morocco
- 9.1 Introduction Michael Bommes, Simon Fellmer and Friederike Zigmann
- 9.2 Methods
- 9.3 Migration scenarios: Turkey
- 9.4 Migration scenarios: Egypt
- 9.5 Migration scenarios: Morocco
- 9.6 Conclusion
- References
- List of contributors
- prof ile Table 8.5 Yearly migration potential (’000), Austrian emigration
- prof ile Table 8.6 Yearly migration potential (’000), Polish emigration
- Table 9.1 Turkey: scenario
- Table 9.2 Turkey: scenario
- Table 9.3 Turkey: scenario
- Table 9.4 Egypt: scenario
- Table 9.5 Egypt: scenario
- Table 9.6 Egypt: scenario
- Table 9.7 Morocco: scenario
- Table 9.8 Morocco: scenario
- Table 9.9 Morocco: scenario
