Contents
Preface 13
Introduction 15
Heinz Fassmann and Wiebke Sievers
Assessing migration potential from the MENA region 17
Migration histories and futures: Patterns and effects 19
Policies and conf licts: Two incalculable factors inf luencing
migration 21
Migration potential: Figures and scenarios 23
References 26
Part I Country profiles
1 Euro-Mediterranean migration futures: The cases of Morocco,
Egypt and Turkey 29
Hein de Haas
1.1 Introduction 29
1.2 Beyond ‘push-pull’ frameworks: Migration systems and
transitions 31
1.3 Migration histories: Morocco, Egypt and Turkey 38
1.4 Recent migration trends 49
1.5 Development trends and migration futures 59
1.6 Conclusion 67
References 71
2 Migration and development in Egypt 75
Ayman Zohr y
2.1 Introduction 75
2.2 Demography, the labour market and the political situation 76
2.3 Egyptian emigration 78
2.4 Migration and development 86
2.5 Conclusion 94
References 95