Australasian Science 11

(Jacob Rumans) #1

T


here have long been fears in the community
about whether the use of mobile phones could
lead to an increase in the frequency of brain
tumours. However, our analysis of data collected
by The New Zealand Cancer Registry between
1995 and 2010 has found that the risk of developing a brain
tumour has not changed signiicantly despite the increased use
of mobile phones during that time.
In fact, for those aged 10–69 years there has been a decrease
of about 1% per year. In people aged over 70 years there was an
increase in some types of brain cancer, but this has been seen
in other countries and is likely to be due to improved diagnosis.
Our study, published in theAustralian and New Zealand
Journal of Public Health(tinyurl.com/ptynwqe), adds to
existing evidence against a substantially increased risk in mobile
phone users, and is consistent with most similar studies
conducted in other countries. However, a study of this type
cannot exclude the possibility of a small risk, or a risk limited
to a certain subtype of cancers, or a risk that only arises after
more than 15 years of phone use.
Put that way, our research results sound pretty simple and
straightforward, but reaching those conclusions took a great
deal of thought and hard work.
Stella had completed the 3 years of the Bachelor of Health
Science program and had chosen to do an Honours year, which

requires a research dissertation. She was interested in epidemi-
ology, and Mark suggested she examine whether there been
an increase in the incidence of brain cancers in New Zealand
in recent years. This is an important question because almost
everybody uses a cell phone these days, and the idea that cell
phones increase brain cancers because of their electromagnetic
radiation is a familiar one.
While the popular concept of science is that the develop-
ment of such a scientiic study involves deep contemplation and
challenging original thought, in practice the questions asked
when selecting a study are often are very practical. Can we get
data? Do we need funding? What do we do about ethical
approval?
The mobile phone study was only feasible because New
Zealand, like most other developed countries, has a national
cancer registry: that is, a system by which every newly diag-
nosed cancer in the country is reported to a group within the
Ministry of Health.
So we asked the cancer registry to give us information on
every person with a brain cancer diagnosed and recorded in
New Zealand between 1985 and 2010 (the most recent year
available) as a simple Excel spreadsheet. This record had their
age, gender, date of diagnosis, and details about the cancer
such as its pathology (there are several different types of brain
cancer) and its location within the brain. The information we

34 | APRIL 2016


DData Caps


Brain Cancer


Concerns


MARK ELWOOD & STELLA KIM

Extensive health data records
in New Zealand have revealed
whether brain cancer rates have
changed as a result of radiation
emitted by mobile phones.

pathdoc/Adobe
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