NEAM research among all groups, the TFP indexes of HSS research do not show
good performance in most groups. Relative to the base year, only TFP indexes of
eastern 211Us, or more specifically the JUs and OUs, are in the uptrend, the TFP
indexes of other groups are in certain downtrend.
Among the eastern, central and western 211Us, none but the TFP index of
eastern 211Us is increased with a moderate annual rate of merely 3%. To central
and western 211Us, their annual changes of TFP indexes are generally in the
downtrend, of which the TFP index of central 211Us fell on average by 3% and the
western 211Us fell on average by 4% annually.
To do in-depth analysis, we subdivide the eastern 211Us into JUs, HSZUs, and
OUs as categorized above. Through comparing their indexes, we canfind that,
despite the overall uptrend of TFP index of the eastern 211Us, there still exist
certain differences between subgroups. Among JUs, HSZUs and OUs, TFP indexes
of both JUs and OUs are improved substantially, by 5 and 3% on average during the
five years, while that of HSZUs is decreased by 1% on average.
We present the annual changes of each decomposition index in Fig.5.14.
Through comparing the averages by region in Fig.5.14, we canfind that growtheffect caused by technical change is the primary driver of HSS research productivity
growth of 211Us among most regions. However, the decline of PTEC index is
prevalent in most regions, and becomes the factor restricting the TFP improvement
of 211Us located in most regions. This phenomenon should be paid more attention.
More specific discussions can be made as below.
First, to 211Us located in all regions, theirfive-year average of TC annual
changes are all larger than 1, demonstrating that TFP index growth can be attributed
to growth effect during the phase of 2006–2010 in each group.
Among eastern, central and western 211Us, the growth effects, indicated by TC
index, are all prominent, with the annual TC growth rates of 7, 6 and 7%
respectively.
By subdividing eastern 211Us into JUs, SHZUs and OUs, we canfind that all
these groups are showing great growth effects, but that of JUs is the most promi-
nent, with the annual TC growth rate higher than 10%, which is apparently larger
than 4% of HSZUs and 7% of OUs.
Second, the TEC index is generally consistent with a downward trend among all
the groups. To the eastern, central and western 211Us, their annual TEC change
rates of are decreased by 4, 8 and 10% in thesefive years. While inside the eastern
211Us, those of JUs, HSZUs and OUs are decreased by 4, 5 and 3% respectively.
Since we can decompose TEC index into PTEC index and SEC index, it’s nec-
essary for us to do the decomposition tofind the causes to the poor performance in
TEC index.
Third, the declines of TEC indexes of 211Us located in each region during the
five years is mainly attributable to the declines of PTEC indexes. In contrast, SEC
indexes are generally in a better status. Among all eastern 211Us, central 211Us,
and western 211Us, and JUs, HSZUs, and OUs, thefive-year average of annual
PTEC changes of each group is smaller than unity. Particularly, for the central
211Us, their PTEC index of HSS research undergoes an annual decline of 12%. For
240 5 Dynamic Evaluation on Research Productivity...