Low Carbon Urban Infrastructure Investment in Asian Cities

© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2016 61
J. Jupesta, T. Wakiyama (eds.), Low Carbon Urban Infrastructure
Investment in Asian Cities, Cities and the Global Politics of the
Environment, DOI 10.1057/978-1-137-59676-5_4

CHAPTER 4

Abstract This study presents the results of a modelling study on greenhouse
gas (GHG) mitigation actions through which the DKI Jakarta energy sec-
tor may achieve “Low-carbon City in 2030” targets. The study assesses the
effect of future GHG emission levels in DKI Jakarta and ways in which the
DKI Jakarta provincial government may reach reduction targets by up to
30 % below the baseline level in 2030 through the Provincial Action Plan
(RAD GRK). Using a back-casting approach, an energy development path
is developed based on desirable goals, and we then seek ways to employ it.
The results of this study show that energy demand in DKI Jakarta has
increased signifi cantly, particularly as the result of increasing activity in the
transportation and industrial sectors. Future energy city demand levels will
be determined by population growth, economic development, transport
demand generation, and end-use technology trends. Future energy sup-
plies will correspond with future demands and decision-making regarding
the energy supply mix and regarding technologies. Under the business as
usual (BaU) scenario, fi nal energy demand levels from 2005 to 2030 are
estimated to increase 4.5 times from 6.7 mtoe (5.5 % of total consumption
in Indonesia) to 27.9 mtoe, whereas primary energy supplies will increase
from 11.3 mtoe to 50.1 mtoe. Under mitigation scenarios, fi nal energy
demand levels from 2005 to 2030 are estimated to increase 3.5-fold from

Low-Carbon City Scenarios for DKI Jakarta

Towards 2030

Retno Gumilang Dewi , Ucok Siagian , Iwan Hendrawan ,

Rizaldi Boer , Lukytawati Anggraeni , and  Toni Bakhtiar