8 Time October 7, 2019
T
he sTreeTs are swepT, The soldiers
rehearsed and the stealth drones ready to be
put on display. As Beijing prepares to celebrate
the 70th anniversary of the founding of the
People’s Republic of China on Oct. 1, even the trade war
will suspend hostilities, with the U.S. delaying additional
tariffs. Yet one key birthday wish will not be granted: an
end to the protests that have rocked semiautonomous
Hong Kong for over three months. The unrest could reach
a turning point come National Day, as China’s ruling
Communist Party vows to let nothing spoil its big parade.
What began in Hong Kong as a protest against a
controversial bill has spawned a rebellion against the
city’s political masters in Beijing. The bill that sparked
the dissent, which would have allowed extradition to
mainland China, was withdrawn in early September, but
protesters insist four other demands must be
met, including one for fully democratic elections.
Weekend protests now routinely turn violent,
with black-clad demonstrators hurling bricks
and gasoline bombs, smashing train stations and
setting garbage alight in the street. In response,
police have started making more arrests and
on Sept. 23 reiterated a threat to fire live
ammunition. It’s rumored that Beijing gave Hong
Kong authorities until Oct. 1 to quell the pro-
democracy protests, but no amount of deadlines,
tear gas or aggression by government supporters
has been able to bring them to an end.
With the sensitive anniversary looming,
some demonstrators have targeted more overtly
the symbols of the Chinese government. On
Sept. 21, protesters set fire to a Chinese na-
tional flag. The next day, they tossed another
into the Shing Mun River north of the city cen-
ter. But the date of modern China’s founding
represents the biggest target yet for protesters.
In a sign of just how jittery officials are about
potential disruptions, the Hong Kong govern-
ment’s invitation to its National Day flag raising
calls for guests to arrive before 7:15 a.m., long
in advance of rallies planned for the day.
For Beijing, the stakes are high. “Celebra-
tions like the 70th anniversary certainly lend
legitimacy to the Chinese Communist Party,”
says Willy Lam, an adjunct professor at the Chi-
nese University of Hong Kong’s Center for China
Studies. “The propaganda being projected is that
even though the Communist Party does not have
ballot- box legitimacy, it is beloved by the Chinese
people and is going from strength to strength.” This mile-
stone is particularly significant, as China’s communist state
has now outlived the Soviet Union’s 69 years, a staying
power it attributes to economic and military prowess.
For President Xi Jinping, who abolished term limits
last year, the celebrations offer another chance to burnish
his credentials as party leader for life. The extravaganza
in store includes Xi’s expected address to the nation, cul-
tural performances across the country and fireworks. But
the real centerpiece is the military parade. Some 15,
members of the armed forces will goose-step down Bei-
jing’s Avenue of Eternal Peace as fighter jets fly overhead
and 580 pieces of military hardware go on display, in-
cluding intercontinental ballistic missiles and the new
Sharp Sword stealth drone.
But as Xi seeks to project an image of Chinese strength
and unity, the discontent in Hong Kong offers an alterna-
tive picture. “Under Xi Jinping, China’s message to the
world is that the China model is superior to the liberal val-
ues and the universal suffrage practiced in the West,” says
Lam. But this “is belied by the fact that in Hong Kong, the
one free place in China, the China model is being rejected.”
The situation in Hong Kong also threatens Xi’s long-
held ambition of Chinese reunification with the
self- governing island of Taiwan. Beijing had hoped
the “one country, two systems” framework for semi-
autonomy in Hong Kong, a former British colony,
could be a model for bringing Taiwan back into the
fold after seven decades of estrangement. But as the
framework has eroded in Hong Kong, popular sup-
port for sovereignty among Taiwan’s citizens has
swelled further. “We will not become another Hong
Kong,” President Tsai Ing-wen pledged in July.
An empire beginning to fray at the edges is
not the vision Xi wants to present to the world on
Oct. 1. It’s still unclear how long China’s most pow-
erful leader since Mao Zedong will tolerate this
state of affairs. Beijing has not followed through on
its threats in the summer to activate troops in Hong
Kong, and analysts generally agree that the optics
of a bloody intervention would have global reper-
cussions, especially for Xi’s ambitions overseas.
But with the Communist Party’s pride on the line, a
brazen escalation by protesters on China’s National
Day could finally prompt serious retaliation.
The heightened tensions in Hong Kong have
grabbed the U.S.’s attention, as President Donald
Trump made clear in his address to the U.N. Gen-
eral Assembly on Sept. 24. “How China chooses
to handle the situation will say a great deal about
its role in the world in the future,” he said. Beijing
will be hoping all eyes turn to China on Oct. 1 as
it marks its 70th birthday. But the protesters in
Hong Kong are aware that the world is now watch-
ing them too. “The U.S. and all countries based
on democratic values should be standing up with
Hong Kong,” says Yukki Leung, 30. “This is a fight
for freedom.” •TheBrief Opener
‘Under
Xi Jinping,
China’s
message to
the world
is that the
China model is
superior.’
WILLY LAM, scholar,
on the optics of Oct. 1
celebrationsWORLD
Will Hong Kong unrest
spoil China’s big day?
By Laignee Barron/Hong Kong