IFR International - 28.07.2018

(Greg DeLong) #1

h.OWûTHATûREGIMEûISûGOINGûAWAYûANDûTHATûSCARESû


PEOPLE ûANDûTHATûISûAûBIGûPOSITIVEv


DEUTSCHE BANK’S AMIT KHATTAR ON CHANGES TO INDIA’S BANKRUPTCY LAWS, P


Nomura’s profit slumps on


wholesale banking woes


NOMURAûHADûAûROUGHûLASTûQUARTERûASûNETûPROlTû
TUMBLEDûûTOûcBNû53M ûFOLLOWINGû
DECLINESûINûREVENUEûACROSSûITSûTHREEûBUSINESSû
LINES
)TSûPERFORMANCEûINûWHOLESALEûBANKING û
WHICHûCOMPRISESûGLOBALûMARKETSûANDû
INVESTMENTûBANKING ûWASûPARTICULARLYû
TROUBLINGûASûITûRECORDEDûAûLOSSûOFûcBNûINû
THEû!PRIL
*UNEûQUARTER ûVERSUSûAûPROlTûOFû
cBNûAûYEARûAGO
/VERALLûREVENUEûFROMûWHOLESALEûBANKINGû
FELLûûYEARûONûYEARûTOûcBNûWITHû
REVENUEûFROMûINVESTMENTûBANKINGûDOWNûû
ATûcBNûANDûREVENUEûFROMûGLOBALûMARKETSû
DOWNûûATûcBN
)TSûRESULTSûnûFORûTHEûlRSTûQUARTERûOFûITSû
lNANCIALûYEARûnûWEREûINûSTARKûCONTRASTûTOûTHEû
BIGûlVEû53ûBANKS ûWHICHûREPORTEDûSOLIDû
TRADINGûRESULTSûANDûANûINCREASEûINû
INVESTMENTûBANKINGûFEEûINCOMEûDURINGûTHEû
QUARTERû2EVENUEûFROMûlXEDûINCOME û
COMMODITIESûANDûCURRENCYûTRADINGûROSEûû
ONûAVERAGEûACROSSûTHEûlVEûBANKS ûWHILEû
REVENUEûFROMûEQUITIESûJUMPEDû
4HEû53ûBANKSûBENElTEDûFROMûRECENTû
VOLATILITYûLINKEDûTOûESCALATINGûTRADEû
TENSIONSûBETWEENû#HINAûANDûTHEû53ûANDû


CHANGESûINûCENTRALûBANKûMONETARYûPOLICYû
GLOBALLY
4HESEûSAMEûCONDITIONSûFAILEDûTOûLIFTû
.OMURASûRESULTS ûWHICHûSAWûREVENUEûFROMû
EQUITIESûTRADINGûFALLûûTOûcBN ûWHILEû
REVENUEûFROMûlXEDûINCOMEûFELLûBYûMOREû
THANûAûTHIRDûTOûcBN
)TSûINVESTMENTûBANKINGûREVENUESûWEREû
DOWNûûATûcBNû4HISûSTILLûCOMPAREDû
UNFAVOURABLYûWITHûANûûGAINûAMONGûTHEû53û
BANKSûDURINGûTHEûSAMEûPERIOD

SETBACK
4HEûLATESTûRESULTSûWILLûBEûPARTICULARLYû
DISAPPOINTINGûFORûMANAGEMENTûAFTERûAû
SUCCESSFULûSTARTûTOû ûATûLEASTûFORûITSû
WHOLESALEûDIVISION
)TûPOSTEDûSTEADYûGAINSûINûlXEDûINCOMEû
DURINGûTHEû*ANUARY
-ARCHûQUARTER ûWITHû
REVENUESûUPûûATûcBN ûANDûAûûSURGEû
INûEQUITIESûREVENUESûASûITûBENElTEDûFROMû
MOREûVOLATILEûMARKETûCONDITIONS
"UTû.OMURASûLATESTûQUARTERLYû
PERFORMANCEûWILLûRAISEûQUESTIONSûAGAINû
ABOUTûTHEûVIABILITYûOFûITSûBUSINESSûOUTSIDEû
*APAN ûWHICHûHASûBEENûDEBATEDûEXTENSIVELYû
SINCEûITûACQUIREDû,EHMANû"ROTHERSûEQUITIESû

ANDûINVESTMENTûBANKINGûBUSINESSESûINû
%UROPEûANDû!SIA
&ORûTHEûLASTûlSCALûYEAR ûITûRECORDEDûAûPRE
TAXûLOSSûOFûcBNûAFTERûBOOKINGûAûcBNûHITû
INûTHEû!MERICASûDURINGû1 ûBECAUSEûOFûAû
SPIKEûINûPROVISIONSûANDûAûHIGHERûEFFECTIVEûTAXû
RATE

,ASTûYEARSûLOSSûREVERSEDûAûGAINûAûYEARû
EARLIERûTHATûHADûMARKEDûTHEû*APANESEûBANKSû
lRSTûOVERSEASûPROlTûINûSEVENûYEARS û
UNDERSCORINGûITSûSUSCEPTIBILITYûTOûONE
OFFû
FACTORS
.OMURAûRECORDEDûAûcBNûLOSSûINûITSû
OVERSEASûBUSINESSûDURINGû!PRIL
*UNE
4HEûBANKûRECORDEDûAûûDECLINEûINûREVENUEû
TOûcBNûINûITSûDOMESTIC
FOCUSEDûRETAILû
DIVISION ûWHICHûITûATTRIBUTEDûTOûINVESTORû
DISQUIETûOVERû53
#HINAûTRADEûFRICTION
2EVENUEûFROMûASSETûMANAGEMENTûFELLûû
TOûcBN ûALTHOUGHûITûNOTEDûTHATûASSETSû
UNDERûMANAGEMENTûREACHEDûAûRECORDûHIGHûOFû
cTRNûDURINGûTHEûQUARTER
Thomas Blott

FROM THE ARCHIVE: 10 years ago this week


THE FINANCIAL CRISIS


From July 26 2008 issue
Not the done thing
The relatively successful result for
the £4bn HBOS rights issue was
overshadowed last week by the
hedging activity of underwriter
Morgan Stanley. The US bank
began selling the stock ahead of
the rump placement in a move

that shocked peers and left its
fellow underwriter at a significant
disadvantage. The bank apparently
abided by the FSA’s rules, but
was felt to have breached the
gentleman’s agreement that
operates in the UK.
When subscription closed for
the HBOS rights issue at 11am
on Friday July 18, most in the
market assumed that little would
happen until the deal’s two
bookrunners – Morgan Stanley and
Dresdner Kleinwort – launched
the placement of the rump the
following Monday.
But when Citi published results
that led the banking sector higher and
HBOS’s stock finally moved above
the 275p rights issue price, traders at
Morgan Stanley chose to dump some

of the unsold underwritten shares
they expected to receive, sparking
near universal outrage among ECM
bankers in the UK.
Morgan Stanley bankers said the
traders acted independently of the
ECM team, on the assumption that
the bank would be left with stock
and this would mitigate its risk. By
the end of trading on Friday the
bank had acquired a short position
equal to 2.347% of HBOS’s stock,
but it did not notify the market until
after the rump issue was completed
on Monday.

Prudently paranoid
Management at Wachovia threw
in the towel last week, once again,
with a fresh series of write-downs
that led to a record US$8.9bn

loss for its second quarter. While
the losses were in line with earlier
guidance, the results showed
a near complete capitulation
across the firm’s mortgage and
commercial lending businesses.
The good news – such as it
is – is that additional capital will
not be needed. The bad news is
that housing markets are likely
to remain problematic until the
middle of next year.
The second quarter was “clearly
a disappointing performance for
which we take responsibility”, said
newly appointed Wachovia CEO
Robert Steel in a conference call
on Tuesday that lasted more than
two hours. “We are serious about
getting on top of these issues
quickly.”

Nomura’s revenues from
equities trading fell 7% and
revenue from fixed income fell
by more than a third
Free download pdf