IFR International - 20.10.2018

(Nancy Kaufman) #1

People


&Markets


17


Rothschild
& Co pairs
up to work on US
energy deals with
Intrepid Financial
Partners, where golfer
Phil Mickelson is an
advisor

17


Wells Fargo
chooses Paris
as its EU trading hub
after Brexit, as the
French capital sees
its popularity among
bankers improve

15


BMO Capital
Markets
promotes investment
bankers Susan
Wolford and Patrick
Kratus in its US
investment bank arm

„ FRONT STORY RESULTS


Goldman, Morgan Stanley take the cake


Pair take banking market share as BAML struggles


)NVESTMENTûBANKINGûREVENUEûWASûmATûACROSSû
THEûlVEûLARGESTû53ûBANKSûINûTHEûTHIRDû
QUARTER ûBUTûBENEATHûTHEûCALMûTOP
LINEû
number GOLDMAN SACHSûANDûMORGAN STANLEY
OUTPERFORMEDûRIVALSûTOûWINûMARKETûSHARE
4HEûPUREûPLAYûINVESTMENTûBANKSûSTEPPEDû
UPûTOûTAKEûADVANTAGEûOFûPROBLEMSûATûBANK OF
AMERICA MERRILL LYNCH ûWHICHûCONTINUEDûTOû
STRUGGLEûALONGûAFTERûRECENTLYûCHANGINGûTHEû
HEADûOFûITSûCORPORATEûANDûINVESTMENTûBANK
)NVESTMENTûBANKINGûREVENUEûACROSSûTHEû
lVEûBANKSûINûTHEûTHIRDûQUARTER ûINCLUDINGûJP
MORGANûANDûCITIGROUP ûWASû53BN ûmATû
FROMûAûYEARûAGOû2EVENUESûWEREûBUOYEDûBYûAû
ûJUMPûINûEQUITYûUNDERWRITINGûACROSSûTHEû
lVEûBANKS ûBUTûTHATûWASûWIPEDûOUTûBYûAû
DECLINEûINûDEBTûUNDERWRITINGûANDû-!û
ADVISORY
'OLDMANûANDû-ORGANû3TANLEYûWEREûABLEû
TOûPOSTûGAINSûINûTHEûQUARTERûASûREVENUESû
TUMBLEDûATû"!-,ûANDû#ITI


BUOYANT ECM
'OLDMANSûINVESTMENTûBANKINGûREVENUEûOFû
53BNûINûTHEûQUARTERûWASûUPûûFROMûLASTû
YEAR
4HEûBANKSû-!ûREVENUESûOFû53Mû
WEREûUPûûFROMûAûSTRONGûYEAR
AGOûQUARTERû
%#-ûREVENUESûMOREûTHANûDOUBLEDûTOû
53MûASû)0/ûACTIVITYûACCELERATED û
SUPPORTEDûBYûSTRONGûACTIVITYûINû!SIA ûTHEû
BANKûSAIDû2EVENUEûINûDEBTûUNDERWRITINGû
FOLLOWEDûTHEûWIDERûTREND ûFALLINGûûFROMûAû
YEARûAGOûTOû53M
h'OLDMANSûTRADITIONALûSTRENGTHûASûANû
INVESTMENTûBANKINGûlRMûISûBEINGû
REINFORCED vûSAIDû2AFFERTYû#APITALûSTRATEGISTû
$ICKû"OVE
-ORGANû3TANLEYûSAWûTHEûBESTû
IMPROVEMENTûFROMûLASTûYEARûOFûTHEûMAJORû53û
BANKS ûPOSTINGûAûûINCREASEûINûINVESTMENTû
BANKINGûREVENUEûTOû53BN


)TSûTHIRD
QUARTERû$#-ûREVENUEûROSEûû
TOû53MûnûAûSURPRISINGûBRIGHTûSPOTû
CONSIDERINGûDEBTûUNDERWRITINGûREVENUEû
FELLûûACROSSûALLûlVEûBANKSûFROMûAûYEARû
AGO
)Nû-!û-ORGANû3TANLEYSûREVENUEûSLIPPEDû
ûTOû53M ûCOMPAREDûWITHûAûRELATIVELYû
STRONGûYEAR
AGOûQUARTERû)Nû%#-ûITûTOPPEDû
RIVALSûWITHûREVENUEûOFû53M ûUPûû
FROMûAûYEARûAGO
h!CTIVITYûREMAINEDûHEALTHYûACROSSû
PRODUCTSûANDûREGIONSûWITHûPARTICULARû
STRENGTHûINû)0/S vûSAIDûCHIEFûlNANCEûOFlCERû
*ONATHANû0RUZANûh!MERICASûWASûSTRONGû
THROUGHOUTûTHEûQUARTER ûWHILEû!SIAûANDû
%UROPEûSAWûSOMEûSEASONALûSLOWDOWNûINû
!UGUSTûBEFOREûAûSTRONGû3EPTEMBERv
)NûAûSTANDOUTûQUARTERûFORû%#-ûONLYû#ITIû
WASûFROZENûOUT ûPOSTINGûAûûDECLINEûINûTHEû
PERIOD

"!-,SûTHIRD
QUARTERûINVESTMENTûBANKINGû
REVENUEûSLUMPEDûûFROMûAûYEARûAGO ûTHEû
STEEPESTûDECLINEûAMONGûTHEûBIGûBANKS
"!-,Sû$#-ûREVENUEûOFû53MûWASû
DOWNûûFROMûAûYEARûAGOû)TûWASûTHEû
WEAKESTûQUARTERûFORûTHEûBANKûINûMOREûTHANû
TWOûYEARSûANDûTHEûWORSTûTHIRDûQUARTERûINû
SEVENûYEARS
"!-,ûHASûALSOûSTRUGGLEDûTOûSHOWûMUCHû
PROGRESSûINûTURNINGûAROUNDûITSû-!û
FRANCHISEû!DVISORYûREVENUEûWASûDOWNû
ûTOû53M ûTHEûSAMEûINCOMEûASû
ATû#ITI ûWHEREûREVENUESûROSEûûFROMûAû
YEARûAGO
4HEREûISûMOUNTINGûCONCERNûABOUTû"!-,Sû
-!ûPERFORMANCE
h4OMû-ONTAGû;"!-,ûCHIEFûOPERATINGû
OFlCER=ûHASûBROUGHTûINûAûNEWûLEADERûTOûHELPû
CARRYûUSûTOûTHEûNEXTûLEVELûASûWEûLOOKû
FORWARD vû#%/û"RIANû-OYNIHANûTOLDûANALYSTSû
ONûAûCALLûh7EûKNOWûWEûCANûGETûOURûFAIRû
SHAREûOUTûOFûTHATûBUSINESSûxû3OûWEûCANûDOû
BETTERûANDûWELLûJUSTûKEEPûPUSHINGûOURûWAYû
ATûITv
"!-,ûLASTûMONTHûREPLACEDû#HRISTIANû
-EISSNERûASûHEADûOFû#)"ûAFTERûEIGHTûYEARSûINû
CHARGEû-ATTHEWû+ODERûISûTAKINGûONûTHEûTASKû
OFûREINVIGORATINGûTHEûBUSINESS
"!-,SûONEûBRIGHTûSPOTûINûINVESTMENTû
BANKINGûWASûINûEQUITYûUNDERWRITING ûWHEREû
ITSûREVENUEûOFû53MûWASûUPûûFROMûAû
YEARûAGOûFORûITSûSTRONGESTûTHIRDûQUARTERûINû
THREEûYEARS
4HEûBATONûWILLûPASSûTOû%UROPEANûBANKSû
this week, with BARCLAYS, DEUTSCHE BANKûANDû
UBSûALLûDUEûTOûREPORTûRESULTS
5"3ûWILLûALSOûRELEASEûANûINVESTORûUPDATE û
BUTûMOSTûSCRUTINYûISûLIKELYûTOûBEûWHETHERû
$EUTSCHEûHASûSTOPPEDûBLEEDINGûnûANDûIFûITSû
INVESTMENTûBANKûHASûSTABILISEDûREVENUESû
WHILEûCUTTINGûSTAFFûANDûCOSTS
Philip Scipio

Source: Company results, IFR calculations based on
weighted averages

%





-1 5









0

5

10

15

20

JPM Citi BAMLGoldman MS US average
 FICC  Equities  Advisory/underwriting

US BANKS: EQUITIES +8% ON YEAR, FICC -3%,
ADVISORY/UNDERWRITING FLAT
Free download pdf