Top news
Investors cast doubt over Mexico’s
policy direction after airport shock
Emerging Markets Buyside gets set for US$6bn debt negotiation following airport cancellation
BY PAUL KILBY
)NVESTORûCONlDENCEûINû-EXICOû
WASûRATTLEDûLASTûWEEKûAFTERûTHEû
PRESIDENTûELECTûABANDONEDûAû
53BNûAIRPORTûPROJECTûRAISINGû
FEARSûTHATûPOLICYûDIRECTIONûMAYû
SOONûTAKEûAûMOREûPOPULISTûBENT
4HEû53BNûBONDSûTHATûHELPEDû
FUNDûTHEûPROJECTûSLIPPEDû
MULTIPLEûPOINTSûAFTERûAûFOUR
DAYû
CONSULTATIONûTHATûRESULTEDûINû
-EXICANSûVOTINGûINûFAVOURûOFû
REFURBISHINGûEXISTINGûAIRPORTSû
INSTEAD
4HATû!NDREû-ANUELû,OPEZû
/BRADORûOFTENûREFERREDûTOûASû
!-,/ ûWHOûTAKESûOFlCEûINû
$ECEMBERûSOûQUICKLYûAGREEDû
WITHûAûPLEBISCITEûnûWHICHûONLYû
INVOLVEDûAûFRACTIONûOFûTHEû
POPULATIONûnûTOOKûMARKETSûBYû
SURPRISE
h4HEûLOGICALûTHINGûTOûDOûWOULDû
HAVEûBEENûFORû!-,/ûTOûTHANKû
THEûPUBLICûFORûTHEIRûVALUABLEû
PARTICIPATIONûANDûANNOUNCEûTHATû
HEûWOULDûCONSIDERûTHEûBESTûWAYû
FORWARDûAFTERûDISCUSSINGûTHISû
WITHûTHEûBUSINESSûCOMMUNITYû
ANDûTHEûAIRPORTûGROUPvûSAIDû
2OGERû(ORNûSENIORû%-ûSTRATEGISTû
ATû3-"#û.IKKOû3ECURITIESû
!MERICA
2ESPECTEDûFORûlSCALûDISCIPLINEû
ANDûSOPHISTICATEDûDEBTû
MANAGEMENTû-EXICOûANDûITSû
STATE
OWNEDûOILûCOMPANYû0EMEXû
HAVEûBEENûFAVOURITESûAMONGû
INTERNATIONALûlXED
INCOMEû
ACCOUNTS
"UTûFUNDûMANAGERSûWHOûHADû
FOUNDûCOMFORTûINûTHEûMODERATEû
TONEûSTRUCKûBYû!-,/ûPOST
ELECTIONûAREûNOWûRETHINKINGû
RISKS
!SIDEûFROMûAûPOSSIBLEû
RENEGOTIATIONûOFû53BNûINû
AIRPORTûBONDSûINVESTORSûFEARû
POPULISTûMEMBERSûOFûTHEûNEWû
PRESIDENTSûTEAMûAREûNOWûDRIVINGû
POLICY
h4HISûREFERENDUMûISûSEENûBYû
MANYûASûAûMAKEûORûBREAKûMOMENTû
TOûlNALLYûGETûAûSENSEûOFûWHATûTHEû
!-,/ûADMINISTRATIONûWILLûLOOKû
LIKEvûSAIDû!LEJOû#ZERWONKOûANû
EMERGINGûMARKETSûECONOMISTûATû
5"3û7EALTHû-ANAGEMENT
h4HEûMAJORITYûOFûINVESTORSû
NOWûBELIEVEûTHATûTHEûMOREû
IDEOLOGICALLYûDRIVENûSIDEû;OFûTHEû
!-,/ûADMINISTRATION=ûISû
PREVAILINGv
4HEû-EXICOû#ITYû!IRPORTû4RUSTû
ORû-EXCAT ûûSûHAVEû
FALLENûlVEûPOINTSûSINCEûLASTûWEEKû
TOûTRADEûATûûONû4HURSDAYû
WHILEûTHEûûûHASûSUNKû
MOREûTHANûSIXûPOINTSûOVERûTHEû
Evergrande chairman lends a hand
Emerging Markets New structure, generous coupons and chairman’s purchase draw attention
BY CAROL CHAN
(EAVILYûINDEBTEDûPROPERTYû
DEVELOPERûCHINA EVERGRANDE GROUP
""" ûRAISEDûEYEBROWSûLASTû
WEEKûAFTERûITûSOLDûMOSTûOFûAû
53BNûTHREE
TRANCHEûHIGH
YIELDûBONDûTOûITSûOWNûCHAIRMAN
)NûAûSTOCKûEXCHANGEûlLINGû
%VERGRANDEûSAIDûTHATûCHAIRMANû
ANDûEXECUTIVEûDIRECTORû(UIû+Aû
9ANûHADûSUBSCRIBEDûTOû53BNûOFû
THEûNEWûISSUEûTOûhSIGNIFYûHISû
SUPPORTûTOûANDûCONlDENCEvûINû
THEûCOMPANY
%VERGRANDESûSHARESûHAVEûLOSTû
ûTHISûYEARûANDûITSûOFFSHOREû
BONDSûSLUMPEDûTOûDOUBLE
DIGITû
YIELDSûBEFOREûLASTû4UESDAYSûNEWû
ISSUEûANDûTHEûTIMINGûOFûTHEûDEALû
PROMPTEDûALARMûAMONGûSOMEû
INVESTORS
h!LTHOUGHûTHEûMARKETûHASû
EXPECTEDû%VERGRANDEûTOûCOMEûTOû
THEûMARKETûFORûAûLONGûTIMEûNOû
ONEûTHOUGHTûITûWOULDûCOMEûOUTû
INûSUCHûAûMARKETûESPECIALLYûAFTERû
THEûRECENTûPLUNGEûOFûITSûBONDSvûAû
PORTFOLIOûMANAGERûFROMûAûFUNDû
HOUSEûSAID
4HEûDEALûCOMPRISEDû53Mû
OFûûTWO
YEARûNOTESû
53MûOFûûFOUR
YEARû
NON
CALLûTWOûNOTESûANDû53Mû
OFûûlVE
YEARûNON
CALLûTHREEû
NOTESû!LLûTRANCHESûPRICEDûATûPARû
INûLINEûWITHûlNALûGUIDANCE
(UIûSUBSCRIBEDûTOû53MûOFû
THEûFOUR
YEARûNON
CALLûTWOûANDû
53MûOFûTHEûlVE
YEARûNON
CALLûTHREEûWHICHûOTHERWISEûDREWû
VIRTUALLYûNOûINSTITUTIONALû
INTERESTû0RIVATEûBANKINGûCLIENTSû
ALSOûTOOKûTHEûMAJORITYûOFûTHEû
TWO
YEARûTRANCHE
4HEûHIGHûYIELDSûONûOFFERûREPRICEDû
%VERGRANDESûOUTSTANDINGûBONDSû
nûPOINTSûLOWERûONû4UESDAYû
AFTERûTHEûDEALûANNOUNCEMENTûnûONû
TOPûOFûAûnûPOINTûDECLINEûINûTHEû
PREVIOUSûWEEK
4HEûNEWûISSUEûTRADEDûWEAKLYû
INûTHEûAFTERMARKETûWITHûTHEû
THREEûTRANCHESûQUOTEDûABOUTûn
ûPOINTSûLOWERûLASTû7EDNESDAYû
MORNINGûACCORDINGûTOûAûTRADER
4HEûTWO
YEARûNOTESûWEREû
ACTIVELYûTRADEDûTHROUGHOUTûTHEû
WEEKûANDûWEREûLASTûSEENûATû
nûONû&RIDAYû4HEû
LONGERûTRANCHESûWEREûNOTûLIQUID
NEW STRUCTURE
)NûAûDEPARTUREûFROMûITSûPREVIOUSû
ISSUESû(ONGû+ONG
LISTEDû
%VERGRANDEûINSTEADûSOLDûTHEû
NOTESûTHROUGHûITSûIDENTICALLYû
RATEDûANDû
OWNEDû
SUBSIDIARYû(ENGDAû2EALû%STATEû
'ROUPûWITHûAûKEEPWELLûSTRUCTURE
(ENGDAûWHICHûISûSLATEDûFORûAû
BACKDOORûLISTINGûINû3HENZHENû
ACCOUNTSûFORûnûOFû
%VERGRANDESûSALESû%BITDAûANDû
TOTALûASSETSûANDûMOREûTHANûû
OFûTOTALûADJUSTEDûDEBT
"YûUSINGû(ENGDAûFORûTHEûLATESTû
ISSUEû%VERGRANDEûISûGROOMINGûITû
ASûAûSEPARATEûFUNDINGûVEHICLEûTOû
ALIGNûOFFSHOREûFUNDRAISINGûTOûITSû
PROPERTYûBUSINESSûREQUIREMENTSû
3CENERYû*OURNEYûISûTHEûISSUERûOFû
THEûNEWûNOTESûANDû4IANJIû
Source: Refinitiv
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18 Sep 18
MEXICO CITY AIRPORT US$3bn 2047s
BID PRICE
“Although the
market has expected
Evergrande to come to
the market for a long
time, no one thought it
would come out in such
a market, especially
after the recent plunge
of its bonds”