IFR International - 03.11.2018

(Axel Boer) #1

h)TûSEEMSûASûTHOUGHûTHEYûAREûGOINGûTOûSTAYû
ASûANû!ûRATEDûENTITY ûBUTûTHISûISûAû53BN
BNûDEBTûTHATûNEEDSûTOûCOMEûTOûMARKET vû
*ASONû3HOUP ûSENIORûlXEDûINCOMEûSTRATEGISTû
WITHû,')-! ûTOLDû)&2
h-OSTûLIKELY ûITûWILLûCOMEûWITHûAû
SIGNIlCANTûCONCESSION ûANDûALREADYûITSû
WIDENEDûOUTv
JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs are providing
Aû53BNû
DAYûBRIDGEûLOANûFORûTHEû
ACQUISITION ûWHICHûISûEXPECTEDûTOûBEûTAKENû
out with bonds.
/NûEXPECTATIONSûTHATûTHEûCOMPANYûWILLû
NEEDûTOûSELLûBONDSûTOûlNANCEûTHEûDEAL û)"-Sû
EXISTINGûBONDSûWEAKENEDû)TSûûû
ISSUEûIMMEDIATELYûWIDENEDûBPûTOû
Treasuries plus 125bp following the
ANNOUNCEMENT ûACCORDINGûTOû-ARKET!XESS
)"-SûDEBTûLEVERAGEûISûLIKELYûTOûRISEûTOû
AROUNDûXûCOMPAREDûWITHûXûCURRENTLY û
ACCORDINGûTOû30
3HOUPûSAIDûTHISû-!ûDEALûISûTYPICALûOFû
what is to be expected in later stages of the
CREDITûCYCLE ûWHEREûCOMPANIESûAREû
combining with dissimilar businesses in
HOPESûOFûlNDINGûREVENUEûSYNERGIES
h)TSûAûLOTûOFûDEBT ûBUTûITSûSOMETHINGûTHEYû
HAVEûTOûEXECUTEûONûIFûTHEYûREALLYûWANTûTOû
COMPETEûWITHû-ICROSOFTûANDû!MAZONûINûTHEû
CLOUDûSPACE vûHEûSAID


MOODY’S SAYS ALLERGAN’S DEBT
BUYBACK A CREDIT POSITIVE


Drugmaker ALLERGAN said on an earnings call
4UESDAYûTHATûITûHADûREDUCEDûDEBTûINûTHEû
THIRDûQUARTERûANDûSIGNALLEDûITûMAYûBEû
looking to come to the bond market during
THEûFOURTHûQUARTER
-OODYS ûWHICHûRATESû!LLERGANûATû"AA û
SAIDûTHEûDEALûREDUCEDûTHEûCOMPANYSû
ABSOLUTEûDEBTûBYû53MûANDûWASûCREDITû
positive.
!LLERGANûISûAûLARGEûINVESTMENT
GRADEûBONDû
issuer and part of a worrisome half of the
53TRNû53ûCORPORATEûBONDûMARKETûTHATûISû
NOWûRATEDûNEARûJUNK


The segment has come on the radar for
potential downgrades as companies fall
short on their debt reduction plans as the
RATINGSûAGENCIESûTAKEûAûHARDERûLOOKûRECENTLYû
at leverage.
&ORûITSûPART û!LLERGANûAPPEARSûTOûBEû
FOCUSEDûONûKEEPINGûITSûINVESTMENT
GRADEû
ratings.
)TûRETIREDû53BNûOFûDEBTûINûTHEûTHIRDû
QUARTER û$AVIDû.ICHOLSON û!LLERGANSû
EXECUTIVEûVICEûPRESIDENTûANDûCHIEFû2$û
OFlCERûSAIDûDURINGûTHEûCALLûTHATûFOLLOWEDû
earnings.
h!PPROXIMATELYû53BNûOFûTHEû53BNû
ISûEARMARKEDûFORûAûLEVERAGE
NEUTRALû
RElNANCINGûTHATûWEûAREûINûTHEûPROCESSûOFû
executing as we speak as a normal part of
DEBTûPORTFOLIOûMANAGEMENT vûSAIDû
Nicholson.
h!SûSUCH ûWEûEXPECTûTOûCONDUCTûONEû
ORûMOREûlNANCINGûTRANSACTIONSûINûTHEû
FOURTHûQUARTER ûSUBJECTûTOûMARKETû
CONDITIONSv
!CTAVISûHELPEDûlNANCEûITSû53BNû
PURCHASEûOFû"OTOXûMAKERû!LLERGANûWITHûAû
53BNûBONDûDEALûINû ûANDûAû53BNû
EQUITYûRAISEûTHATûHELPEDûTHEûCOMPANYû
MAINTAINûINVESTMENT
GRADEûRATINGS

GE BONDS TRADE WIDER ON NEWS OF
RESTRUCTURE

GENERAL ELECTRIC slid further down the credit
SPECTRUMûWITHûAûTWO
NOTCHûDOWNGRADEûFROMû
-OODYSûONû/CTOBERûûnûTHEûSECONDûRATINGSû
AGENCYûTOûDEMOTEûTHEûCOMPANYûINûTHEû
course of the month.
-OODYSûBROUGHTûTHEûRATINGûDOWNûINTOûTHEû
4RIPLEû"ûBANDûWITHûAûCUTûTOû"AAûFROMû!û
4HATûCREDITûASSESSMENTûISûINûLINEûWITHû30Sû
""" ûRATING
Fitch put GE on negative watch earlier in
the month.
GE bonds traded wider on the heels of the
DOWNGRADEûANDûITSûTHIRD
QUARTERûEARNINGSû
CALL ûINûWHICHûNEWûCHIEFûEXECUTIVEû,ARRYû
Culp announced plans to restructure the

struggling power unit. Even proposals to
REDUCEûITSûQUARTERLYûDIVIDENDSûHAVEûNOTû
STOPPEDûTHEûSPREAD
WIDENING
4HEûCOMPANYSûûANDûûBONDSûWEREû
AMONGûTHEûMOSTûTRADED ûWITHûSPREADSûWIDERû
ONûTHEûWEEKûBYûBPûANDûBP ûRESPECTIVELY.
)TSûSûWEREûASûMUCHûASûBPûWIDER
/NEûBANKERûTOLDû)&2ûTHEûCOMPANYSû
COMMERCIALûFUNDINGûCOSTSûJUMPEDûBPûINû
JUSTûTWOûDAYS
'% û2EUTERSûREPORTED ûISûALSOûCONTENDINGûWITHû
REGULATORYûMATTERS ûINCLUDINGûTHEû53û3ECURITIESû
and Exchange Commission and Department of
*USTICEûEXPANDINGûINVESTIGATIONSûTOûINCLUDEûAû
US$22bn writedown of goodwill from GE’s
power division.
!DDITIONALLY ûTHEûCOMPANYûWILLû
SIGNIlCANTLYûMISSûITSûFULL
YEARûCASHmOWû
TARGETûOFûABOUTû53BN ûANDûCANNOTûESTIMATEû
PROlTSûFORûTHEûYEARûUNTILû#ULPûGETSûMOREû
DETAILûABOUTûITSûAILINGûPOWERûUNIT û2EUTERSû
reported.
4HEûCOMPANYSûSHARESûFELLûûTOûAûNINE
YEARûLOWûONû4UESDAYûFOLLOWINGûTHEûNEWS
!NALYSTSûHADûAûPOSITIVEûVIEWûREGARDINGû
'%SûPLANûTOûSLASHûQUARTERLYûDIVIDENDSûOFûû
CENTSûAûSHARE ûSAVINGû53BN
Culp noted during the call that there are
NOûPLANSûTOûRAISEûEQUITYûCAPITAL û2EUTERSû
reported.

GM BRINGS BOND ON BACK OF
POSITIVE RESULTS

GENERAL MOTORS posted better than expected
PROlTSûONû7EDNESDAY ûPROMPTINGû
TIGHTENINGûACROSSûTHEû53ûAUTOMAKERSûCURVE û
as well as new debt issuance from its captive
lNANCEûARMûGM FINANCIAL.
4HEûlNANCINGûARM û"AA"""""" ûSTUCKû
TOûTHEûSHORTûENDûOFûTHEûCURVE ûCOMINGûWITHûAû
53BNûTHREE
YEARûTRANCHEûTHATûPRICEDûATû
4REASURIESûPLUSûBP ûSOMEûBPûTIGHTûTOû
IPTs on the back of a US$1.9bn order book.
)TûALSOûPRINTEDûAû53MûmOATERûWITHûTHEû
SAMEûTENORûATûTHREE
MONTHû,IBORûPLUSûBP
1UARTERLYûRESULTSûONû7EDNESDAYûPROVIDEDû
a nice surprise to a market that had forecast
LOWERûPROlTS ûAFFORDINGûTHEûCREDITûAûDECENTû
RUNWAY
h7EûCONTINUEûTOûVIEWûTHEûCOMPANYû
through the lens of its positioning relative
TOûTHEûBROADERû4RIPLEû"ûINDEX ûTOûWHICHûITû
CONTINUESûTOûTRADEûMATERIALLYûWIDE vû
CreditSights said.
'-ûREPORTEDûTHIRD
QUARTERûNETûINCOMEûOFû
53BNûCOMPAREDûWITHûAûLOSSûLASTûYEARûOFû
53BN ûACCORDINGûTOû2EUTERS ûWHILEû
ADJUSTEDû%BITûCAMEûINûATû53BN
$URINGûTHEûEARNINGSûCALL ûTHEûAUTOMAKERû
noted that GM Financial would initiate a
53MûDIVIDENDûPAYMENTûTOûTHEûPARENTû
COMPANYûINûTHEûFOURTHûQUARTER ûAHEADûOFûTHEû
ûTARGET ûACCORDINGûTOûTHEûEARNINGSû
report.

BONDS CORPORATES

ALL INVESTMENT-GRADE BONDS IN EUROS
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues €(m) (%)


1 BNP Paribas 216 53,890.62 7.1
2 HSBC 236 51,166.69 6.7
3 SG 196 49,907.47 6.6
4 JP Morgan 164 46,122.73 6.1
5 Credit Agricole 184 44,460.07 5.9
6 Deutsche Bank 181 41,582.04 5.5
7 Barclays 134 40,496.99 5.3
8 UniCredit 171 38,782.52 5.1
9 Citigroup 128 32,619.15 4.3
10 Goldman Sachs 92 32,396.34 4.3
Total 1,077 758,951.63
Excluding ABS/MBS, equity-related debt.
Source: Refinitiv SDC code: N9


ALL CORPORATE BONDS IN STERLING
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues £(m) (%)
1 HSBC 16 1,961.64 14.3
2 Barclays 15 1,711.77 12.4
3 RBC 9 1,354.74 9.9
4 Lloyds Bank 13 1,141.78 8.3
5 NatWest Markets 12 955.46 6.9
6 BNP Paribas 11 766.28 5.6
7 Credit Suisse 7 661.72 4.8
8 Citigroup 6 573.55 4.2
9 Morgan Stanley 4 538.57 3.9
10 Deutsche Bank 5 482.61 3.5
Total 46 13,750.40

Source: Refinitiv SDC code: N8a
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