IFR International - 03.11.2018

(Axel Boer) #1
STRUCTURED FINANCE

US MBS


FANNIE MAKES KEY CHANGE TO CRT
BOND PROGRAMME


FANNIE MAE took steps last week to up the
APPEALûOFûITSûlVE
YEAR
OLDûMORTGAGEûBONDû
programme for securities it sells without
government guarantees.
4HEûAGENCYûSOLDûITSûlRSTûSETûOFûBONDSûONû
7EDNESDAYûFROMûITSû#ONNECTICUTû!VENUEû
3ECURITIESûCREDIT
RISKûTRANSFERû#24 û
programme that make use of a REMIC
structure.
REMICs have been a securitisation market
STAPLEûSINCEûTHEûSûANDûALLOWûFORûLOANSûTOû
BEûPOOLEDûINTOûAûTAX
EXEMPTûTRUSTûTHATûISSUESû
securities for sale.
The feature also gives investors recourse
TOûUNDERLYINGûREALûESTATE ûWHEREASûPRIORû
&ANNIEû#24ûBONDSûALLOWEDûRECOURSEûONLYû
BACKûTOûTHEûHOUSINGûAGENCY
“It’s been something we’ve been working
ONûFORûQUITEûAûWHILE vû,AURELû$AVIS ûVICEû
PRESIDENTûFORûCREDIT
RISKûTRANSFERûATû&ANNIEû
told IFR.
h)FûYOUûGOûBACKûTOûTHEûBEGINNINGûOFûTHEû
PROGRAM ûONEûGOALûWASûALWAYSûTOûISSUEûASûAû
2%-)# vûSHEûSAIDûh"UTûUNLESSû;THEREûWERE=û
LEGISLATIVEûCHANGES ûWEûHADûTOûDOûITûTHROUGHû
DEALûSTRUCTUREv
3TARTINGûINû-AY û&ANNIEûBEGANûTAKINGûAû
2%-)#ûELECTIONûONûALLûUNDERLYINGûLOANSû
EARMARKEDûFORû#!3 ûAûPROCESSûTHATûWILLûBEû
standard for the program and make it more
FRIENDLYûTOû2%)4S ûINTERNATIONALûBUYERSûANDû
others.
“It checks all of those REIT boxes and we
THINKûITSûIMPORTANTûOVERûTHEûLONG
RUNûTOû
have a structure that works for them from a
TAXûANDûREGULATORYûSTANDPOINT vû$AVISûSAID
Freddie said it expects to start issuing
2%-)#û#24ûDEALSûNEXTûYEAR
7HILEû2%)4SûHAVEûBEENûLESSûTHANûûOFû
THEûINVESTORûBASEûFORû#!3û-ûANDû""û
CLASSESûINûTHEûPAST ûANALYSTSûATû"ANKûOFû
!MERICAû-ERRILLû,YNCHûEXPECTûTHATû
participation to increase.
4HEûTAXûSTATUSûCHANGEûALSOûLIKELYûMAKESû
THEûBONDSûMOREûATTRACTIVEûTOûBUYERSûOUTSIDEû
of the US.
h!SûAûREMINDER ûNON
53ûINVESTORSûFACEûAû
ûWITHHOLDINGûTAXûWHENûINVESTINGûINûNON
DEBTûFORûTAXûSECURITIES vûTHEûANALYSTûWROTE


WORTH THE WAIT
Fannie and Freddie Mac have been selling
CREDIT
RISKûTRANSFERûBONDSûSINCEûûTOû
REDUCEûTAXPAYERûEXPOSUREûTOûTHEûLARGEû
mortgage footprints.
The two housing agencies have
transferred a portion of credit risk on a
whopping US$2.5trn of home loans to
private investors through their CRT


PROGRAMSûTHROUGHûTHEûENDûOFû*UNEû
ACCORDINGûTOûAûREPORTûISSUEDûONû4HURSDAYûBYû
THEû&EDERALû(OUSINGû&INANCEû!GENCY
4AKINGûTHEû2%-)#ûROUTE ûFORû&ANNIE û
appears worth it.
Most of its new US$922m bond deal was
ABLEûTOûPRICEûWITHINûEXPECTATIONS ûDESPITEûAû
CHOPPYûMARKET
“It’s been a roller coaster and a lot of lot of
CREDITûSPREADûWIDENING ûWITHûHIGH
YIELDûOUTû
BPûFROMûOURûLASTûTRANSACTION vû$AVISûSAID
“But we saw strong subscriptions and we
priced close to the tight end of the expected
RANGEv
Even the bonds most susceptible to
VOLATILITYûHELDûINûPRETTYûWELL
)TSû53MûBLOCKûOFû
YEARûUNRATEDû
"ûNOTESûPRICEDûATû,IBORûPLUSûBPû3IMILARû
"û#!3ûBONDSûPRICEDûATûAûRECORDûHIGHûOFû
,  BPûINû!PRILû ûACCORDINGûTOû
Finsight data.

US CLO


CLO FUNDS PUSH FOR FALL-BACK
BENCHMARKS

Some US credit investors are pushing to use
alternative benchmarks in the documents of
NEWû#,/ûFUNDSûBEFOREûOFlCIALûREPLACEMENTSû
TOû,IBORûAREûIDENTIlEDûAHEADûOFûITSûLIKELYû
demise in 2021.
The US market is set to adopt the Secured
Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) as an
ALTERNATIVEûTOû,IBOR ûTHEûBENCHMARKûTHATûISû
USEDûGLOBALLYûTOûSETûTHEûINTERESTûPAYMENTûONû
more than US$350trn of assets.
!NDREWû"AILEY ûCHIEFûEXECUTIVEûOFlCERûOFû
THEû5+Sû&INANCIALû#ONDUCTû!UTHORITYû&#! û
SAIDûINûûTHEREûWEREûINSUFlCIENTû
TRANSACTIONSûUNDERPINNINGû,IBOR ûWHICHûSETSû
the rate on loans from corporate borrowings
TOûMORTGAGEûPAYMENTS
3OMEû#,/ûFUNDSûARE ûHOWEVER ûALREADYû
considering alternatives. Wells Fargo and
0RUDENTIALûAREûAMONGûlRMSûTHATûAREû

SUGGESTINGûANûEVENTUALûFALL
BACKûTOûTHEû
0RIMEû2ATE ûWHICHûISûTYPICALLYûMOREû
EXPENSIVEûTHANû,IBOR
#,/SûAREûPROPOSINGûADDITIONALû
benchmarks as SOFR is an overnight rate
ANDûCURRENTLYûLACKSûAûTERMûRATEûFORûDIFFERENTû
MATURITIESûMOSTû#,/ûPAYMENTSûAREûPEGGEDû
TOûTHREE
MONTHû,IBOR
4HEû53BNû53û#,/ûMARKET ûTHEûLARGESTû
BUYERûOFû53ûLEVERAGEDûLOANS ûINITIALLYû
REWORKEDûDOCUMENTSûAFTERûTHEû&#!Sû
statement to include language that would
REQUIREûDEBTûINVESTORSûTOûAPPROVEûAû
benchmark change.
4HEûDOCUMENTSûNOWûSAYûTHATûTHEûNEWû
benchmark will be recognised as the
INDUSTRYûSTANDARDûBYûTHEû,OANû3YNDICATIONSû
ANDû4RADINGû!SSOCIATIONûORûTHEû!LTERNATIVEû
2EFERENCEû2ATESû#OMMITTEEû!22# ûAûGROUPû
SETûUPûINûûBYûTHEû&EDERALû2ESERVEû&ED û
and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
TOûIDENTIFYûBESTûPRACTICESûFORûALTERNATIVEû
rates.
4HEû!22#ûHASûRECOMMENDEDûSHIFTINGûTOû
3/&2 ûWHICHûBEGANûTRADINGûEARLIERûTHISûYEARû
ANDûNOWûHASûABOUTû53BNûOFûTRADESûAû
DAY
!22#ûISûASKINGûFORûFEEDBACKûBYû.OVEMBERû
ûONûFALL
BACKûCONTRACTûALTERNATIVESûFORû
SYNDICATEDûLOANSûANDûmOATING
RATINGûNOTESûTOû
lNDûTHEûBESTûWAYûTOûMOVEûEXISTINGûCONTRACTSû
TOûTHEûNEWûBENCHMARKûIFû,IBORûISûNOûLONGERû
viable.

LIBOR MODIFIERS
Investors that purchase the most senior and
LARGESTûPORTIONSûOFûTHEûFUND ûTHEû4RIPLEû!û
TRANCHES ûNOWûWANTûAûBIGGERûSAYûINûSELECTINGû
future benchmarks.
#,/ûINVESTORSûAREûCONCERNEDûTHATû
PROPOSALSû
ûSUCHûASûPICKINGûTHEûLASTû,IBORûRATEû
ORûANûAVERAGEûTHATûWOULDûNOTûBEûRESETû
û
WOULDûEFFECTIVELYûTURNûAûmOATING
RATEûASSETû
INTOûAûlXEDûINSTRUMENT ûANDûINVESTORSûWOULDû
NOTûBEûADEQUATELYûCOMPENSATED
#,/SûPAYûMOSTûDEBT
HOLDERSûAûSETûRATEûOVERû
,IBOR ûWHICHûRISESûASûINTERESTûRATESûINCREASE û

ALL INTL CANADIAN DOLLAR BONDS
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues C$(m) (%)
1 TD Securities 27 7,099.33 24.1
2 RBC 26 5,411.11 18.3
3 BMO 18 5,221.51 17.7
4 CIBC 22 3,620.17 12.3
5 Scotiabank 20 3,182.90 10.8
6 Natl Bank of Canada Fin’l 10 1,730.84 5.9
7 HSBC 9 1,672.79 5.7
8 BAML 6 1,402.68 4.8
9 Goldman Sachs 1 150.00 0.5
Total 41 29,491.33
Including preferreds. Excluding equity-related debt.

Source: Refinitiv SDC code: K2

GLOBAL DIM SUM BONDS
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues Rmb(m) (%)
1 HSBC 68 21,476.45 31.9
2 Standard Chartered  44 17,984.57 26.7
3 Credit Agricole 32 8,664.89 12.9
4 BNP Paribas 10 2,736.00 4.1
5 Bank of China  5 2,114.86 3.1
6 Citic 4 1,903.34 2.8
7 DBS Group 4 1,865.83 2.8
8 Goldman Sachs 2 1,075.00 1.6
9 KGI Finl Services Group 1 1,000.00 1.5
10 China Merchants Bank 1 750.00 1.1
Total 163 67,326.16
Including preferreds. Excluding equity-related debt.
Source: Refinitiv SDC code: AS24a
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