The Week - UK (2022-05-28)

(Antfer) #1

Shares CITY 47


28 May 2022 THE WEEK

Aviva
The Times
The insurer has cut costs and
slimmed down. The March
acquisition of wealth manager
Succession is set to attract
new business from existing
customers. The generous
potential 8.9% divi yield looks
more secure. Buy. 405.65p.


BHP Group
The Daily Telegraph
Commodities tend to
outperform in high inflation
eras. This diversified miner
aligns its portfolio with growth
sectors: including potash (a
fertiliser component), and
copper and iron ore (key in the
shift to net-zero). Buy. £25.99.


British Land
The Mail on Sunday
The London-focused REIT
has proved nimble and
adaptable, moving into urban
logistics and developing
“campuses” that include
homes, offices, shops,
restaurants and outdoor space.
Profits are up 25%. Buy. 519p.

Moneysupermarket
The Sunday Times
Insurance revenues are flat,
and record energy costs have
deprived the price comparison
site of cheap tariff switches.
But the travel arm has
recovered, and the cost-of-
living crisis should drive
punters to the site. Buy. 172.8p.

Taylor Wimpey
The Daily Telegraph
Rising interest rates and
household costs are expected
to slow the housing market.
But this builder has the
financial means to buy land
cheaply, grow its pipeline
and improve its competitive
position. Buy. 127.25p.

Vodafone Group
Investors’ Chronicle
Voda is “more international”
than rival BT, with a high-
margin German arm and a
strong African growth market,
which includes a mobile
money platform. Capex is
high – one for the long term.
Yields 6.4%. Buy. 120p.

Who’s tipping what


The week’s best shares


...and some to hold, avoid or sell


Benchmark
Investors’ Chronicle
This aquaculture and biotech
firm’s revenues are up in all
divisions – genetics, animal
health and advanced nutrition.
Still, borrowing facilities are
due to expire in 13 months,
and inflationary pressures are
worrying. Hold. 45p.


Burberry Group
Investors’ Chronicle
The luxury fashion and
accessories brand has cut costs
and grown profits, thanks to
ballooning sales in the
Americas – up 47%. But
it remains dependent on
China, where lockdowns are
impacting sales. Hold. £15.89.


Hollywood Bowl Group
The Sunday Telegraph
The bowling operator is a
“good business”. But margins
could be squeezed, amid rising
costs and the waning novelty
of post-lockdown activities as
cash-strapped punters cut back.
Take profits. Sell. 234p.

Imperial Brands
Investors’ Chronicle
The tobacco giant is making
progress: debt is falling, and
next-generation products
have outperformed
traditional tobacco. But
these still equate to just 3%
of revenues, and societal and
regulatory challenges are
escalating. Sell. £17.89.

Marston’s
Investors’ Chronicle
The pub and hotel operator
has shot back to profitability
after Omicron hit the vital
Christmas trading period. Sales
are at 97% of pre-pandemic
levels and debt is reducing,
but rising costs will impact
earnings. Hold. 60p.

Royal Mail
The Times
Royal Mail’s global arm,
GLS, has been buoyed by a
recovery in B2B deliveries. But
competition is tough, and high
operational gearing makes it
vulnerable to falling parcel and
letter volumes. Set for a profit
warning. Avoid. 342.4p.

Directors’ dealings

Ocado Group

The grocery disrupter is
enduring “punishing” times.
Chair Rick Haythornthwaite
and Ocado Technology CEO
James Matthews increased
their stakes – spending
£100,000 and £88,000
respectively on shares.

Form guide

Shares tipped 12 weeks ago
Best tip
BAE Systems
The Mail on Sunday
up 18.71% to 775.2p
Worst tip
Made.com Group
The Sunday Times
down 25.15% to 50.9p

Market view
“Now is one of those 2008
moments where everyone [in
trend-following] is doing well
again. The trends are clearer.”
Leda Braga of Systematica
Investments on the
resurgence of computer-
driven “quant” hedge funds.
Quoted in the FT

SOURCE: INVESTORS’ CHRONICLE

Market summary


6-month movement in the FTSE 100 index

24 May 2022 Week before Change (%)
FTSE 100 7484.35 7518.35 –0.45%
FTSE All-share UK 4126.79 4149.88 –0.56%
Dow Jones 31617.06 32460.65 –2.60%
NASDAQ 11214.46 11886.27 –5.65%
Nikkei 225 26748.14 26659.33 0.33%
Hang Seng 20112.10 20602.52 –2.38%
Gold 1856.20 1809.50 2.58%
Brent Crude Oil 113.49 113.84 –0.31%
DIVIDEND YIELD (FTSE 100) 3.71% 3.69%
UK 10-year gilts yield 1.88 1.86
US 10-year Treasuries 2.74 2.97
UK ECONOMIC DATA
Latest CPI (yoy) 9.0% (Apr) 7.0% (Mar)
9.0% (Mar)
11.0% (Mar)

Latest RPI (yoy) 11.1% (Apr)
Halifax house price (yoy) 10.8% (Apr)
£1 STERLING: $1.255 s1.174 ¥159.602 Bitcoin $29,714

Key numbers for investorsKey numbers for investors Best and worst performing sharesBest and worst performing shares Following the Footsie


WEEK’S CHANGE, FTSE 100 STOCKS
RISES Price % change
Vodafone Group 128.84 +7.10
Airtel Africa 152.60 +6.49
Aviva 428.70 +5.68
Fresnillo 818.80 +5.19
Dechra Pharmaceuticals 3474.00 +4.70

FALLS
WPP 875.60 –12.18
Scottish Mortgage 693.20 –11.40
JD Sports Fashion 119.30 –9.52
3i Group 1222.00 –9.35
Royal Mail 313.70 –8.76
FTSE 250 RISER & FALLER
Homeserve 1162.00 +11.90
Tui Ag 183.45 –25.40
Source: Datastream/FT (not adjusted for dividends). Prices on 24 May

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Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May

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Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May

2 directors
buy 23,663
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