Flight International - August 18, 2015

(Marcin) #1

40 | Flight International | 18-31 August 2015 flightglobal.com


RUSSIA


SPECIAL REPORT


STEPHEN TRIMBLE MOSCOW


Ilyushin Finance has had a tough year, exacerbated by its


main customer base being forced into fleet cutbacks, and


there are still plenty of challenges to overcome


COMPLEX


DECISIONS


Ilyushin Finance

O


nly a year ago Ilyushin Finance
seemed in a very different position.
A longstanding debate about its
mixed ownership structure was fi-
nally poised for resolution. Negotiations re-
mained active last summer with Bombardier
about a proposal to buy 100 locally-built Q400
turboprops, as the Russian lessor waited for
CSeries deliveries to begin in mid-2015.
But 12 months later Ilyushin’s split-owner-
ship structure has only been adjusted slightly,
with the biggest issue left unresolved. The Q400
deal has collapsed, with Ilyushin Finance now
involved in plans to revive the Ilyushin Il-114
regional turboprop or perhaps partner with Chi-
na’s Xian Aircraft to import or locally source the
rival MA-700. The lessor is also re-evaluating its
order for 39 CSeries aircraft.
Meanwhile, Ilyushin Finance’s key custom-
ers – mostly Russian airlines – are facing a fi-
nancial crisis caused by a depreciating rouble
that is forcing fleet cutbacks just as suppliers –
mainly Russian manufacturers – count on the


lessor to place dozens of orders for Sukhoi Su-
perjets and Irkut MC-21 narrowbody aircraft.
“This is our life,” says Ilyushin Finance
(IFC) director general Alexander Rubtsov,
only half-jokingly.

LACKING CLARITY
Ilyushin Finance was established in 1999 as
Russia’s answer to manufacturer-owned asset
management companies, such as Boeing Capi-
tal Corporation. But it was not created with the
same clarity of ownership as many of its com-
parable Western entities. United Aircraft Corp
(UAC) is the biggest shareholder, with a 49%
stake. Vnesheconombank (VEB) has the sec-
ond-largest stake, at 21%. The split ownership
highlights Ilyushin Finance’s sometimes awk-
ward triple mandate to act as an aircraft lessor,
promote the sale of Russian-made aircraft and
also be a successful business.
“We have been established by private inves-
tors, a government bank and manufacturers of
aircraft not only as a company to make money
but also to promote the sale or lease of newly
developed types,” Rubtsov says.

Some of that complexity was expected to be
resolved last year, with reports of a potential
deal by UAC to divest its ownership stake to
VEB. Ilyushin Finance would lose the corpo-
rate parent of its namesake, but gain a single-
minded ownership structure. As late as last
January, it appeared the deal was poised to be
signed, as UAC’s board of directors authorised
the sale of the 49% stake to VEB. But the deal
was never consummated.
“It never happened because VEB had a
choice either to acquire shares of IFC or to ac-
quire shares of Sukhoi. At that time they opted
for Sukhoi shares,” Rubtsov says.
It once appeared likely that Ilyushin Fi-
nance would be rebranded to reflect its new
ownership structure, but that talk has ceased.
“For us we have a very excellent relationship
with UAC and a very good relationship with
VEB,” Rubtsov says. “So it’s not a very big deal.”

UKRAINE CONCERNS
Rubtsov also downplays the impact of tensions
with Ukraine on the lessor’s position as the larg-
est buyer of Antonov An-148/158 regional jets,
with 16 delivered. Although designed in
Ukraine, they are assembled with 60% content
from Russian suppliers, Rubtsov says.
“We cannot live without each other. We have
industrial links for years and years and years,”
he adds.
The financial situation with Russia’s airline
industry is also not as bad as it may seem, Rubt-
sov says. He agrees the country’s financial crisis
is causing turmoil for domestic airlines. But the
two airline bankruptcies so far – involving Polet
and Vladivostok – had deeper roots.
Russia’s commercial aircraft manufacturing
industry has also received a reprieve. The Su-
perjet entered the year more than $2.5 billion in
debt. But Russian government officials agreed in
March to invest about $1.8 billion, reducing
debt to normal levels. The government also
agreed to provide a further roughly $500 million
to subsidise Superjet aircraft leases.
The Superjet’s declining debt is expected to
spur a round of performance upgrades. But
Rubtsov also has high ambitions for a next gen-
eration aircraft with 135 seats and a new engine.
Ilyushin Finance is also signed up as a major
MC-21 customer, but Rubtsov has concerns
about Irkut’s ability to execute the programme. If
it should falter, Rubtsov is keen to promote a re-
engined Tupolev Tu-204 as an alternative.
The most immediate portfolio decision fac-
ing Ilyushin Finance is how to proceed with the
CSeries. Rubtsov was counting on a financing
package from the Export Development Canada
bank. However, the Canadian government has
prohibited such deals due to sanctions. Rubtsov
is also concerned that CSeries delays erode the
business case for using the aircraft as a stepping
stone for the larger MC-21, which is scheduled
to enter service a year later. ■

Alexander Rubtsov: the
Russian and Ukrainian
industries “cannot live
without each other”
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