16 AUSTRALIAN SKY & TELESCOPE February | March 2019
CHIME
MeerKAT
Arecibo
Green Bank
VLA
FAST
Sardinia
Lovell Westerbork
Effelsberg
Nançay
Parkes
EPTA
NANOGrav
PPTA
New members
Now 2020
2010
2030
Vernal
equinox
Sun
2005
2040
2015
2050
2025
2000
2035
2045
more powerful waves drive a faster inspiral rate, so the
systems are visible for shorter time periods. For example, more
massive galaxies have more massive black holes, so a black
hole inspiral in a galaxy such as the gigantic elliptical M
would emit detectable gravitational waves for 4 million years.
But a humbler black hole pair in a smaller galaxy, such as the
Sombrero (M104), would offer a 160-million-year window. The
odds that a very massive binary is sending out gravitational
waves during the time that PTAs are observing is thus lower.
Unless we’re really lucky, it will probably take 10 to
15 years to build up enough data to see deep enough into
space to detect an individual binary. Theorists expect the
gravitational waveform from a single binary to be a very
simple sinusoid, and because the binary system will likely
have an orbital period of several decades, the signal will
change very little over many years.
The longer baseline could make electromagnetic follow-up
easier. If the inspiralling and merging black holes are embedded
in disks of gas — and recent work suggests that this could be
true for supermassive binaries, unlike the smaller ones that
LIGO and Virgo detect — then they would also produce light.
“If a loud individual source is detected, PTAs will give its sky
localisation, opening the possibility to identify the host galaxy
and carry out multimessenger observations of the system,
pretty much as it happened with the LIGO neutron star binary
GW170817,” Sesana says. “The difference is that with PTAs,
everything builds up slowly over the course of the years, and
you don’t hit the jackpot in a snap.”
Going global
Adding to the growing optimism is the fact that scientists
from all three teams are now combining their data sets to
form an even more powerful network: the International
Pulsar Timing Array (IPTA). The IPTA enables scientists
to analyse data from most of the observed pulsars,
including from facilities in both hemispheres. Having
more observations means shorter time gaps in data, which
increases sensitivity to shorter-wavelength gravitational
waves. All of this works to increase sensitivity to both the
stochastic background and individual binaries.
But progress has been slow for a variety of reasons, from
planning across time zones and work cultures to accounting
for each telescope’s individual quirks. There’s also the all-too-
SWORLDWIDE EFFORT Astronomers use 12 radio observatories to track roughly 75
millisecond pulsars. Of these facilities, three — CHIME in Canada, FAST in China, and MeerKAT
in South Africa — are new participants; the others have been involved for at least 10 years.
THE NEXT GRAVITATIONAL-WAVE REVOLUTION