The Economist June 4th 2022 Middle East & Africa 43
pushing them farther north-west into Con-
go’s Ituri province. Uganda’s bigger aim is
to provide security for building roads into
eastern Congo, including territory close to
the area where Rwanda and Uganda con-
verge. Uganda’s president, Yoweri Museve-
ni, hopes to draw more of eastern Congo’s
trade, including the illicit flow of minerals,
through Uganda rather than Rwanda. But
in February Mr Kagame sneered at Ugan-
da’s operations in Congo and implied that
the adf had linked up with Rwandan Hutu
rebels implicated in the genocide. “We will
wage war where it started,” he said. “We do
what we must do, with or without the con-
sent of others.”
To get his way Mr Kagame may try to ex-
ploit divisions within Uganda’s ruling cir-
cle. While at loggerheads with President
Museveni, he has been cosying up to the
Ugandan leader’s son, Muhoozi Kaineru-
gaba, who commands Uganda’s land forc-
es. Lieutenant-General Kainerugaba has
hinted on Twitter that he might like to suc-
ceed his ageing father at the next election,
in 2026. He has also advertised his warm-
ing friendship with Mr Kagame.
Uganda’s president is plainly annoyed
by Mr Kagame’s ploys. The father can still,
it seems, make his son jump. On May 17th,
just hours after the Ugandan general said
he would withdraw his troops from Congo,
he abruptly changed his mind and said on
Twitter that the mission would carry on for
at least another six months. Mr Museveni,
not to be outdone by Mr Kagame, or by his
own son, has said he too would send troops
to Mozambique.
The un, which has been trying in vain
to keep the peace in Congo for more than
20 years and still has 16,000 soldiers and
police there, has already been drawn back
into the fray—and is hitting them23. But
the un’s special envoy needs first of all to
make Congo’s competing eastern neigh-
bours accommodate each other. Other-
wise, the eac’s hopes of becoming an eco-
nomic powerhouse may be dashed within
months of its enlargement.
TANZANIA
KENYA
UGANDA
North
Kivu
Goma
Ituri
CONGO Clashes involvingrebel groups, 2022*
RWANDA
BURUNDIBURUNDI
Lake
Victoria Nairobi
Kampala
Kigali
150 km
RWANDA
BURUNDI
Infrastructure projects
Sources: ACLED; government reports *To June 1st
Roads Electricity lines
Criminal justice in Kenya
Inequality before the law
F
ighting an electioncampaign is a
time-consuming business. Prudent
candidates therefore like to rid themselves
of distractions well beforehand. Aisha
Jumwa, an mp running to become a county
governor in Kenya’s general election on
August 9th, is a model of efficiency in this
regard. On April 5th, after a judge ruled that
prosecution evidence had been withheld
from Ms Jumwa’s lawyer, she secured a
five-month delay in a trial where she is ac-
cused of murdering a political rival’s uncle.
Six days later she persuaded a magistrate
hearing a separate case in which she is
charged with embezzling constituency
funds to grant a similar postponement. Ms
Jumwa denies both charges.
Mathew Lempurkel was meant to be
missing August’s election since he was in
prison after being convicted of assaulting
the woman who unseated him as mp the
last time Kenyans went to the polls, in 2017.
In December, however, a judge agreed to
release him pending an appeal. Mr Lem-
purkel, a populist who is also on trial for
hate speech, has been cleared to run
against his former victim.
A decade or so ago the idea of Kenyan
judges granting bail was as outlandish as
the prospect of a politician appearing in
their courts. Defendants often languished
in custody for years. But since a new con-
stitution was adopted in 2010, judges must
now allow bail in almost all cases, no mat-
ter how serious the charge. Campaigners
have welcomed this move, since it should
strengthen the presumption of innocence.
The reality is often different. If you have
the misfortune to be hauled before a Ken-
yan court, your immediate fate often de-
pends on how much cash you have. Magis-
trates and judges may grant bail, but poor
Kenyans often cannot afford to raise it. Big-
wigs rarely have this problem. Between
2016 and 2020, official data show that Ken-
ya’s jails held an average of just under
120,000 remand prisoners a year, more
than 60% of the total prison population.
None was a politician.
Kenya has made impressive strides in
improving political accountability in re-
cent years. Anti-corruption agencies and
prosecutors have shown greater stomach
for pursuing the powerful. Stroll through
the corridors of the anti-corruption courts
and the list of well-connected defendants
is striking. On May 30th, for example, Mo-
hammed Swazuri, a former chief of the Na-
tional Lands Commission, was facing
fraud charges. The ex-head of Kenya’s state
power utility was later up before the same
magistrate to answer corruption allega-
tions. In a second court a county governor
was explaining how he had nothing to do
with the disappearance of funds from a
World Bank project.
Yet this progress is being undermined
because it is still far too easy for big shots
to game the system and slow the judicial
wheels while out on bail. This is partly be-
NAIROBI
The police and the courts smile on the powerful and punish the poor