ver the past 10 years or so, there
has come into being a strange new
form of consciousness, a kind of
living global brain.
Just like the biological brain that sits in your
skull, it’s an impossibly complex mechanism
that’s built out of information. And, just like
a human brain, the masses of information it
possesses are turning out to be incredibly
useful for one particular and extraordinary
task – making predictions about the future.
In a way, we’re all clairvoyants. We all
possess these incredible future-sensing
machines that are made, in the words of the
celebrated neuroscientist David Eagleman, out
of “an alien kind of computational material”.
They weigh around 1.3kg and contain more
connections within one cubic centimetre than
there are stars in the Milky Way. Information
shoots around these connections at speeds of
up to 120m/s. Brains absorb information from
their environment and use that information
to build complex models of the world and the
people in it. They then use those models to
make predictions.
How do you know you’re going to be
hungry at 7pm? How do you know what your
partner will say if you tell her you’re not
coming home from the office tonight, but are
instead hopping on a Jetstar flight to Surfer’s
Paradise to empty the joint bank account?
How do you come to an opinion about who’s
going to win the next election, and to what
effect? Or, how good Scorsese’s upcoming
Pacino/De Niro/Pesci movie is going to be?
You’re able to make predictions about all
these things because your brain contains a
colossal amount of information about how
the world has behaved in the past. It uses
this information about the past to ‘see’
into the future.
But now, there’s a new additional brain –
a fresh, impossibly complex mechanism
that’s built out of information. It began being
constructed by all of us in around 2008, the
year after the launch of the iPhone, when
social media started exploding.
“Right now we’ve got a billion people, one
seventh of the world’s population, involved in
social media,” says Johan Bollen, an Associate
Professor at the School of Informatics and
Computing at Indiana University. “Every
second you’ve got tens of thousands of people
reporting conditions on the ground as they
perceive it. Traffic jams, they lost their job,
they’re a little anxious after the election. If
you aggregate all that information, you get
accurate real-time data about conditions on
the ground. But you also get data about
future developments.”
It’s not only information from social media
that’s building this new world-brain. It’s also
data from the GPS that’s in your back pocket,
from the Fitbit on your wrist, from the Opal
card that records your daily commute into
Sydney’s CBD and from your preferred net
services client, such as Google, that knows
all the things you do online, from where you
shop, to who you communicate with to what
your particular perversions happen to be.
We’re all contributing to the building of
this global brain with the constant streams
of information we make about ourselves.
And there’s a lot of it. By 2020, it’s been
predicted, there will be roughly 5200GB
of data for each individual on earth. The
ultimate ramification is that this brain will,
at some point in the near future, be able to
make uncomfortably precise predictions
about you.
Right now, there are two major limitations
to what this brain can do. Firstly, much of
this information remains siloed. Nobody
(at least, in theory) can connect the you on
the inner-city bus to the you who dropped
$400 at blackrabbit.com.au at 2.16a m.
Secondly, in order to turn all that raw
information into solid predictions, we need
algorithms that can properly analyse it.
These algorithms are the new brain’s
intelligence. No matter how much
information the brain holds, it can only
be as smart as those algorithms are. Both
these limitations will become drastically
reduced over time. As tech companies keep
rewriting their terms and conditions, and
state intelligence agencies find new ways
of tapping into this vast digital brain, the
information it’s possible to glean about us as
individuals will become ever richer, deeper
and more connected. The algorithms, too,
are rapidly increasing in sophistication.
The fact is, the future, ruled by ‘predictive
technology’, is not only coming, it’s coming
soon. But what will it be like?
DELVE INTO THE WORLD OF PREDICTIVE TECHNOLOGY,
WHERE YOUR FUTURE IS MAPPED OUT WELL BEFORE YOU KNOW IT.
THE
brain
of
tomorrow
WORDS WILL STORR ILLUSTRATIONS JASON SOLO
MEN OF THE YEAR 2017 GQ.COM.AU 207