Rotman Management — Spring 2017

(coco) #1

110 / Rotman Management Spring 2017


are finite information processors, we think about things one
at a time.
So, when somebody says, ‘Would you rather buy a new
car or save for your retirement?’, you will evaluate those op-
tions one at a time. First, you will ask yourself, ‘What argu-
ments are there for buying the car?’ and then, ‘What is the
argument for saving for my retirement?’ This approach
would be fine, if it didn’t matter in which order you asked
yourself these questions, but we found that the option you
consider first has a huge advantage.
When you start to think about, ‘What is good about the
first option’ (buying the car), it temporarily inhibits argu-
ments against buying the car or more generally, arguments
for other options. Then, when you turn to considering the
second option (saving for retirement), those initial argu-
ments are temporarily inhibited, so they have a harder time
coming to the surface. That’s why, all other things being
equal, the first option you look at has such a huge advantage.
Of course, marketers have known this for a long time —
which is why they are always so keen to direct our attention
to the option they want us to buy.

In terms of how people make decisions with respect to
environmental concerns — the core of your current re-
search — are you a fan of mandated changes to the status
quo, or choice architecture interventions?
It doesn’t have to be either/or. In any complicated context —
making decisions about retirement savings, climate change,
or what to eat — there is a conflict between doing something
that benefits us now vs. doing something that benefits us in the
future. As indicated, people tend to focus too much on the
here and now, because in simpler times, it was all about sur-
vival; the future didn’t matter as much. But these days, as we
live longer, the future does matter: None of us wants to be
obese in 20 years’ time; we want to have enough money for
a comfortable retirement; and we want to leave the earth in
an inhabitable fashion for future generations. But because of
our in-bred myopia, we can’t simply depend on ordinary citi-
zens to make the right decisions intuitively and instinctively.
Both of the options you mentioned — mandating chang-
es to the status quo and choice architecture interventions
that ‘nudge’ people to do what is in their long-term inter-
est — are viable ways of helping to overcome human myo-
pia. Of course, the feasibility of mandated change depends
somewhat on the political context. In an environment where
mandated change is not feasible, choice architecture inter-
ventions are certainly a great tool, as peoples’ autonomy is
not restricted. The research shows that in many cases, nudg-
ing people in the right direction can achieve the same goals
as mandated change.

On that note, both ‘carbon taxes’ and ‘carbon offsets’ are
carbon user fees, but the two have very different conno-
tations for people. Please discuss.
This gets us back to Query Theory and the importance of
which option is considered first. The million-dollar ques-
tion is, what determines which option people consider first?
One important answer to that is, the default gets considered
first. That can be a default in the sense that you have been

Climate change is an example of a behavioural
perfect storm.

‘Fixing’ climate change will take decades. The problem
is, humans don’t like to pay costs up front.

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